Pennsylvania Quakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026
- Projected winnerIllinois 84%
- Projected scoreIllinois 79, Pennsylvania 67
- Model spreadIllinois −12 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Pennsylvania Quakers or Illinois Fighting Illini: the bandwagon
Axle 16–84Market –
Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Pennsylvania Quakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Pennsylvania Quakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PENN | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PENN– | ILL– |
| Average win probability | PENN– | ILL– |
| Longest scoring run | PENN– | ILL– |
| Time leading | PENN– | ILL– |
Pennsylvania Quakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ILL win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 84% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 87% | +22 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ILL 1699 · PENN 1532
- Home spread
- −12
- Stored
- Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pennsylvania Quakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Fighting Illini a 12-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Fighting Illini 1699 (9th of 361), Quakers 1532 (123rd). The Fighting Illini are 1-0; the Quakers are 0-0. The Fighting Illini have won 4 of their last 5; the Quakers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Fighting Illini won 1, the Quakers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Illinois Fighting Illini | L 70–105 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Yale Bulldogs | W 88–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Harvard Crimson | W 62–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Brown Bears | W 82–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Harvard Crimson | W 64–61 | – | – | matchup |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 120–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | W 65–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VCU Rams | W 76–55 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini | 70–105 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Pennsylvania Quakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Illinois Fighting Illini: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Quakers0-0 7th · -
- Quakers rating1532 123rd of 361, 0 games
- Fighting Illini1-0 1st · W1
- Fighting Illini rating1699 9th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $PENNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pennsylvania Quakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ILLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Illinois Fighting Illini bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini
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Model: Illinois 84% to win. Projected score Illinois 79, Pennsylvania 67; spread Illinois −12, total 145.5. Pennsylvania Quakers at Illinois Fighting Illini, Thu, Nov 5, 8:30 PM ET.