North Carolina Central Eagles vs George Mason Patriots prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerGeorge Mason 84%
- Projected scoreGeorge Mason 78, North Carolina Central 66
- Model spreadGeorge Mason −12 total 144
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
North Carolina Central Eagles or George Mason Patriots: the bandwagon
Axle 16–84Market –
North Carolina Central Eagles at George Mason Patriots win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
North Carolina Central Eagles vs George Mason Patriots live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
North Carolina Central Eagles vs George Mason Patriots team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NCCU | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NCCU– | GMU– |
| Average win probability | NCCU– | GMU– |
| Longest scoring run | NCCU– | GMU– |
| Time leading | NCCU– | GMU– |
North Carolina Central Eagles vs George Mason Patriots odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 84% | — |
- Ratings
- GMU 1572 · NCCU 1404
- Home spread
- −12
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
North Carolina Central Eagles vs George Mason Patriots prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Patriots a 12-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 144. Ratings: Patriots 1572 (69th of 361), Eagles 1404 (315th). The Patriots are 1-0; the Eagles are 0-1. The Patriots have won 2 of their last 5; the Eagles 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Patriots won 1, the Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia Bulldogs | L 62–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Howard Bison | L 63–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Delaware State Hornets | W 59–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | W 83–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Carolina State Bulldogs | L 64–80 | – | – | matchup |
George Mason Patriots
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UMBC Retrievers | W 82–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 71–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L 57–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Louis Billikens | W 86–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at VCU Rams | L 65–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Central Eagles at George Mason Patriots | 58–75 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
North Carolina Central Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
George Mason Patriots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Eagles rating1404 315th of 361, 1 games
- Patriots1-0 4th · W1
- Patriots rating1572 69th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NCCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Carolina Central Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the George Mason Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: George Mason 84% to win. Projected score George Mason 78, North Carolina Central 66; spread George Mason −12, total 144. North Carolina Central Eagles at George Mason Patriots, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.