Mercyhurst Lakers vs Canisius Golden Griffins prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Mercyhurst at Canisius: Bandwagon's model makes Canisius a 52% favorite (Canisius −1.5).
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Canisius Golden Griffins odds and win probability
Axle gives Canisius a 52% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Canisius
All CBB ratings| MERC | CAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1433 275th of 365 | 1338 356th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | CAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:37 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:07 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:27 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 52% | −5 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:09 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 57% | — |
Mercyhurst Lakers vs Canisius Golden Griffins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Griffins a 1.5-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 143.5. Ratings: Golden Griffins 1338 (356th of 365), Lakers 1433 (275th). The Golden Griffins are 1-2; the Lakers are 1-2. The Golden Griffins have won 1 of their last 5; the Lakers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Griffins won 1, the Lakers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 56–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marquette Golden Eagles | L 43–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 70–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stonehill Skyhawks | W 56–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 70–61 | – | – | matchup |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L 49–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | L 57–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 47–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercyhurst Lakers at Canisius Golden Griffins | 55–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| Canisius Golden Griffins at Mercyhurst Lakers | 52–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Mercyhurst Lakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Canisius Golden Griffins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lakers1-2 5th · W1
- Lakers rating1433 275th of 365, 2 games
- Golden Griffins1-2 6th · W1
- Golden Griffins rating1338 356th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MERCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mercyhurst Lakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $CANMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Canisius Golden Griffins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Mercyhurst Lakers at Canisius Golden Griffins
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Canisius 52% to win. Projected score Canisius 73, Mercyhurst 71; spread Canisius −1.5, total 143.5. Mercyhurst Lakers at Canisius Golden Griffins, Fri, Nov 20, 5:30 PM ET.