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NCAA Men's Basketball · · United Spirit Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

LSU New Orleans Privateers or Texas Tech Red Raiders: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 15–85Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: TTU 85%
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Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Tech Red Raiders win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatNOLATTU
ScoreNOLA–TTU–
Average win probabilityNOLA–TTU–
Longest scoring runNOLA–TTU–
Time leadingNOLA–TTU–

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Privateers15%
Win chance
Red Raiders85%
SpreadTTU −12.5
Total144
Moneyline+581away / −581homeaway / home
Line movementTTU win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
91%80%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: TTU 85%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: TTU 85%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredTTU winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET85%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET85%—
Ratings
TTU 1633 · NOLA 1448
Home spread
−12.5
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PrivateersRed Raiders
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Red Raiders–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

LSU New Orleans Privateers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 144. Ratings: Red Raiders 1633 (31st of 361), Privateers 1448 (255th). The Red Raiders are 1-0; the Privateers are 0-1. The Red Raiders have won 2 of their last 5; the Privateers 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Raiders won 1, the Privateers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

LSU New Orleans Privateers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at LSU TigersL 57–100––matchup
at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersL 61–74––matchup
vs Houston Christian HuskiesW 73–60––matchup
vs SE Louisiana LionsL 78–82––matchup
vs McNeese CowboysL 63–66––matchup

Texas Tech Red Raiders

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Jackson State TigersW 76–42––matchup
at Alabama Crimson TideL 65–90––matchup
vs Akron ZipsW 91–71––matchup
vs Iowa State CyclonesL 53–75––matchup
at BYU CougarsL 76–82––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Tech Red Raiders50–82––matchup

Injuries

LSU New Orleans Privateers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Privateers0-1 9th · L1
  • Privateers rating1448 255th of 361, 1 games
  • Red Raiders1-0 10th · W1
  • Red Raiders rating1633 31st of 361, 1 games

LSU New Orleans Privateers 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NOLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NOLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NOLAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $NOLAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the LSU New Orleans Privateers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Privateers roster, schedule and more

Texas Tech Red Raiders 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TTUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TTUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TTUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TTUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Raiders roster, schedule and more

Takes on LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Sign in to post a take on $NOLAMBBTTUMBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Texas Tech 85% to win. Projected score Texas Tech 78, LSU New Orleans 66; spread Texas Tech −12.5, total 144. LSU New Orleans Privateers at Texas Tech Red Raiders, Wed, Nov 18, 7:30 PM ET.