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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Winthrop Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Jackson State Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Jackson State Tigers or Winthrop Eagles: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 17–83Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: WIN 83%
Record 0-1
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 2:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Jackson State Tigers at Winthrop Eagles win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Jackson State Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Jackson State Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatJKSTWIN
ScoreJKST–WIN–
Average win probabilityJKST–WIN–
Longest scoring runJKST–WIN–
Time leadingJKST–WIN–

Jackson State Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12:11 AM ET
Tigers17%
Win chance
Eagles83%
SpreadWIN −11.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+479away / −479homeaway / home
Line movementWIN win chance, 37 stored lines
+1 pts for WIN since Nov 1
88%76%
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: WIN 82%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: WIN 83%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: WIN 83%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: WIN 83%
Nov 1Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredWIN winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET83%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET83%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET83%0
Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET83%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET83%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET83%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET83%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET83%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET83%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET83%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET83%+1
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET82%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET82%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET82%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET82%—
Ratings
WIN 1559 · JKST 1403
Home spread
−11.5
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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TigersEagles
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Eagles–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Jackson State Tigers vs Winthrop Eagles prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Eagles 1559 (80th of 361), Tigers 1403 (318th). The Eagles are 0-1; the Tigers are 0-1. The Eagles have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Eagles won 1, the Tigers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Jackson State Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Texas Tech Red RaidersL 42–76––matchup
at Florida A&M RattlersL 60–70––matchup
vs Grambling TigersW 68–65––matchup
vs Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsW 85–77––matchup
vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsW 81–78––matchup

Winthrop Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at High Point PanthersL 76–91––matchup
vs Presbyterian Blue HoseW 73–71––matchup
vs Charleston Southern BuccaneersW 86–81––matchup
vs Presbyterian Blue HoseW 74–70––matchup
at Charleston Southern BuccaneersL 84–86––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Winthrop Eagles at Jackson State Tigers80–62––matchup

Injuries

Jackson State Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Winthrop Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Tigers0-1 9th · L1
  • Tigers rating1403 318th of 361, 1 games
  • Eagles0-1 9th · L1
  • Eagles rating1559 80th of 361, 0 games

Jackson State Tigers 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JKSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jackson State Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Winthrop Eagles 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Winthrop Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Eagles roster, schedule and more

Takes on Jackson State Tigers at Winthrop Eagles

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Model: Winthrop 83% to win. Projected score Winthrop 78, Jackson State 67; spread Winthrop −11.5, total 145.5. Jackson State Tigers at Winthrop Eagles, Sat, Nov 14, 2:30 PM ET.