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NCAA Men's Basketball · · CFSB Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers: final score and how the prediction did, February 21, 2026

Evansville Purple Aces or Murray State Racers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
7588
Record 1-0
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Evansville Purple Aces at Murray State Racers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatEVANMUR
ScoreEVAN75MUR88
Average win probabilityEVAN–MUR–
Longest scoring runEVAN–MUR–
Time leadingEVAN–MUR–

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Purple AcesRacers
Neutrals only–
Purple AcesRacers
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Racers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Evansville Purple Aces vs Murray State Racers prediction

Ratings: Racers 1542 (100th of 361), Purple Aces 1383 (334th). The Racers are 1-0; the Purple Aces are 1-0. The Racers have won 2 of their last 5; the Purple Aces 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Racers won 5, the Purple Aces 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Evansville Purple Aces

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Northern Iowa PanthersL 59–68––matchup
vs Southern Illinois SalukisL 67–81––matchup
vs Valparaiso BeaconsW 80–79––matchup
at Belmont BruinsL 64–98––matchup
at Murray State RacersL 75–88––matchup

Murray State Racers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Tennessee State TigersW 94–64––matchup
at Nevada Wolf PackL 75–89––matchup
vs UIC FlamesL 79–92––matchup
at Bradley BravesL 78–87––matchup
vs Evansville Purple AcesW 88–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Murray State Racers at Evansville Purple Aces79–69––matchup
Evansville Purple Aces at Murray State Racers53–74––matchup
Murray State Racers at Evansville Purple Aces74–78––matchup
Evansville Purple Aces at Murray State Racers61–63––matchup
Evansville Purple Aces at Murray State Racers70–73––matchup
Murray State Racers at Evansville Purple Aces81–59––matchup

Injuries

Evansville Purple Aces: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Murray State Racers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Purple Aces1-0 3rd · W1
  • Purple Aces rating1383 334th of 361, 0 games
  • Racers1-0 4th · W1
  • Racers rating1542 100th of 361, 1 games

Evansville Purple Aces 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $EVANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $EVANMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Evansville Purple Aces bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Purple Aces roster, schedule and more

Murray State Racers 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MURMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MURMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MURMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MURMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Murray State Racers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Racers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Evansville Purple Aces at Murray State Racers

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