Dayton Flyers vs Utah Utes prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Dayton at Utah: Bandwagon's model makes Dayton a 58% favorite (Dayton −1).
Dayton Flyers vs Utah Utes odds and win probability
Axle gives Dayton a 58% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Dayton
All CBB ratings| DAY | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1596 55th of 365 | 1459 243rd of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UTAH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 42% | +6 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:18 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 36% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 36% | +3 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:28 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:18 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:23 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:52 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 33% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 33% | +3 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:14 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:50 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 30% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 30% | — |
Dayton Flyers vs Utah Utes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Flyers a 1-point favorite, with a 58% chance to win. The model total is 147. Ratings: Utes 1459 (243rd of 365), Flyers 1596 (55th). The Utes are 3-0; the Flyers are 1-2. The Utes have won 3 of their last 5; the Flyers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Dayton Flyers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Siena Saints | L 89–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | L 76–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NJIT Highlanders | W 89–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | L 55–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UNC Wilmington Seahawks | W 80–61 | – | – | matchup |
Utah Utes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Weber State Wildcats | W 85–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Towson Tigers | W 67–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Long Beach State Beach | W 66–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 66–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baylor Bears | L 75–101 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Dayton Flyers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah Utes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Flyers1-2 13th · L2
- Flyers rating1596 55th of 365, 2 games
- Utes3-0 8th · W3
- Utes rating1459 243rd of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Dayton Flyers 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $DAYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Dayton Flyers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Utah Utes 3-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $UTAHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Utes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Dayton Flyers at Utah Utes
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.