Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026
- Projected winnerBoise State 74%
- Projected scoreBoise State 77, Butler 69
- Model spreadBoise State −8 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Butler Bulldogs or Boise State Broncos: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
Butler Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | BTLR | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | BTLR– | BOIS– |
| Average win probability | BTLR– | BOIS– |
| Longest scoring run | BTLR– | BOIS– |
| Time leading | BTLR– | BOIS– |
Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BOIS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 74% | −1 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 75% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 80% | +15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- BOIS 1574 · BTLR 1510
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET · 2026-11-05 02:40 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Butler Bulldogs vs Boise State Broncos prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Broncos a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Broncos 1574 (67th of 361), Bulldogs 1497 (181st). The Broncos are 0-0; the Bulldogs are 1-0. The Broncos have won 4 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Broncos won 2, the Bulldogs 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Butler Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W 99–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lafayette Leopards | W 96–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Providence Friars | L 81–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at DePaul Blue Demons | W 81–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Creighton Bluejays | L 59–76 | – | – | matchup |
Boise State Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San José State Spartans | L 74–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado State Rams | W 78–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego State Aztecs | W 86–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | W 69–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wyoming Cowboys | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos at Butler Bulldogs | 77–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| Butler Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos | 93–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| Butler Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos | 70–56 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Butler Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Boise State Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulldogs1-0 1st · W1
- Bulldogs rating1497 181st of 361, 1 games
- Broncos0-0 8th · -
- Broncos rating1574 67th of 361, 0 games
Butler Bulldogs 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BTLRMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Butler Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $BOISMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Boise State Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Butler Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos
Sign in to post a take on $BTLRMBBBOISMBB261108: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Boise State 74% to win. Projected score Boise State 77, Butler 69; spread Boise State −8, total 145.5. Butler Bulldogs at Boise State Broncos, Sun, Nov 8, 2:00 PM ET.