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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Kirby Sports Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Binghamton Bearcats vs Lafayette Leopards prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Binghamton Bearcats or Lafayette Leopards: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 33–67Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: LAF 67%
Record 0-1
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Binghamton Bearcats at Lafayette Leopards win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Lafayette Leopards live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Lafayette Leopards team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatBINGLAF
ScoreBING–LAF–
Average win probabilityBING–LAF–
Longest scoring runBING–LAF–
Time leadingBING–LAF–

Binghamton Bearcats vs Lafayette Leopards odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Bearcats33%
Win chance
Leopards67%
SpreadLAF −6
Total146.5
Moneyline+201away / −201homeaway / home
Line movementLAF win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
72%61%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: LAF 67%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: LAF 67%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredLAF winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET67%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET67%—
Ratings
LAF 1366 · BING 1357
Home spread
−6
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearcatsLeopards
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Leopards–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Binghamton Bearcats vs Lafayette Leopards prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Leopards a 6-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Leopards 1366 (343rd of 361), Bearcats 1357 (347th). The Leopards are 0-1; the Bearcats are 0-1. The Leopards have won 2 of their last 5; the Bearcats 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Leopards won 0, the Bearcats 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Binghamton Bearcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Northwestern WildcatsL 60–86––matchup
vs Maine Black BearsW 74–67––matchup
vs New Hampshire WildcatsW 65–63––matchup
at UMass Lowell River HawksL 79–92––matchup
at Bryant BulldogsW 79–67––matchup

Lafayette Leopards

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Butler BulldogsL 60–96––matchup
vs Holy Cross CrusadersL 77–82––matchup
vs Army Black KnightsW 83–77––matchup
at Colgate RaidersW 70–69––matchup
vs American University EaglesL 61–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Binghamton Bearcats at Lafayette Leopards82–81––matchup

Injuries

Binghamton Bearcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Lafayette Leopards: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bearcats0-1 5th · L1
  • Bearcats rating1357 347th of 361, 1 games
  • Leopards0-1 7th · L1
  • Leopards rating1366 343rd of 361, 1 games

Binghamton Bearcats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $BINGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $BINGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $BINGMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $BINGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Binghamton Bearcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearcats roster, schedule and more

Lafayette Leopards 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LAFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LAFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LAFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LAFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lafayette Leopards bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Leopards roster, schedule and more

Takes on Binghamton Bearcats at Lafayette Leopards

Sign in to post a take on $BINGMBBLAFMBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Lafayette 67% to win. Projected score Lafayette 76, Binghamton 70; spread Lafayette −6, total 146.5. Binghamton Bearcats at Lafayette Leopards, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.