Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Vanderbilt at Arizona: Bandwagon's model makes Vanderbilt an 81% favorite (Vanderbilt −7.5).
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arizona Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Vanderbilt a 81% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Vanderbilt
All WCBB ratings| VAN | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1734 14th of 357 | 1529 142nd of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | W2 |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | — |
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arizona Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Commodores a 7.5-point favorite, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 136.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1529 (142nd of 357), Commodores 1734 (14th). The Wildcats are 2-0; the Commodores are 3-0. The Wildcats have won 2 of their last 5; the Commodores 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 0, the Commodores 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Morehead State Eagles | W 102–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lipscomb Bisons | W 112–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 64–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois Fighting Illini | W 75–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | W 102–61 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Iona Gaels | W 74–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 69–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 51–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 67–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 75–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores at Arizona Wildcats | 71–60 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Vanderbilt Commodores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Commodores3-0 12th · W3
- Commodores rating1734 14th of 357, 2 games
- Wildcats2-0 12th · W2
- Wildcats rating1529 142nd of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $VANWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vanderbilt Commodores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Arizona Wildcats 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ARIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Vanderbilt Commodores at Arizona Wildcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Vanderbilt 81% to win. Projected score Vanderbilt 72, Arizona 65; spread Vanderbilt −7.5, total 136.5. Vanderbilt Commodores at Arizona Wildcats, Mon, Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET.