Arizona Wildcats lead Stanford Cardinal 8-2 with 4:52 left in the 1st, a margin of 6 for Arizona. The model still rates Stanford at 68%, but the scoreboard favors the Wildcats right now.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Maples Pavilion · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Arizona Wildcats vs Stanford Cardinal: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreArizona 84, Stanford 69 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerStanford 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreStanford 69, Arizona 62
- Model spreadStanford −7.5 total 130.5
- Margin15 projected 7.5
- Total153 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Arizona Wildcats or Stanford Cardinal: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market –
FinalPregame: STAN 35%Baseline: STAN 13.5% (−21.4)Big swing: 20.1 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 20 | 22 | 19 | 23 | 84 |
| STAN | 11 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 69 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Arizona Wildcats at Stanford Cardinal win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−1.4 points for STAN over the last 5:00
Big swing20.1 ptstoward ARIZ at 23:27 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineSTAN 13.5%game average, −21.4 points from the pregame 34.9%
Arizona Wildcats vs Stanford Cardinal live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ARIZ31/67 | STAN25/52 |
| 3-pointers | ARIZ5/15 | STAN5/20 |
| Free throws | ARIZ17/27 | STAN14/23 |
| Rebounds | ARIZ37 | STAN35 |
| Assists | ARIZ14 | STAN8 |
| Turnovers | ARIZ18 | STAN30 |
| Steals | ARIZ15 | STAN8 |
| Blocks | ARIZ0 | STAN3 |
| Points in the paint | ARIZ46 | STAN38 |
| Fast-break points | ARIZ8 | STAN14 |
| Fouls | ARIZ23 | STAN25 |
| Largest lead | ARIZ15 | STAN0 |
Arizona Wildcats vs Stanford Cardinal team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ARIZ | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ARIZ84 | STAN69 |
| Average win probability | ARIZ87% | STAN13% |
| Longest scoring run | ARIZ+6 | STAN+11 |
| Time leading | ARIZ36:54 | STAN0:00 |
Arizona Wildcats vs Stanford Cardinal odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET
Wildcats32%
Win chanceCardinal68%
SpreadSTAN −7.5closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+208away / −208homeaway / home
Line movementSTAN win chance, 12 stored lines
+18 pts for STAN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
73%17%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | STAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 68% | +33 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 35% | +13 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 22% | −28 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- STAN 1584 · ARIZ 1489
- Home spread
- −7.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET · 2026-11-02 20:02 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Arizona Wildcats 84, Stanford Cardinal 69. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
WildcatsCardinal
Neutrals only–
WildcatsCardinal
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cardinal–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Arizona Wildcats vs Stanford Cardinal prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinal a 7.5-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cardinal 1556 (117th of 356), Wildcats 1517 (150th). The Cardinal are 0-1; the Wildcats are 1-0. The Cardinal have won 3 of their last 5; the Wildcats 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cardinal won 3, the Wildcats 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 69–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 51–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 67–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 75–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Baylor Bears | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup |
Stanford Cardinal
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Stanford Cardinal | W 84–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 81–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Loyola Marymount Lions | W 80–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 76–83 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats at Stanford Cardinal | 68–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| Stanford Cardinal at Arizona Wildcats | 96–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| Stanford Cardinal at Arizona Wildcats | 84–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| Arizona Wildcats at Stanford Cardinal | 57–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Stanford Cardinal: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats1-0 1st · W1
- Wildcats rating1517 150th of 356, 1 games
- Cardinal0-1 7th · L1
- Cardinal rating1556 117th of 356, 1 games
Arizona Wildcats 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak L1
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