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NCAA Women's Basketball · · McKale Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Iona Gaels vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Iona Gaels or Arizona Wildcats: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 35–65Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: ARIZ 65%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 8 at 3:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Iona Gaels at Arizona Wildcats win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Iona Gaels vs Arizona Wildcats live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Iona Gaels vs Arizona Wildcats team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatIONAARIZ
ScoreIONA–ARIZ–
Average win probabilityIONA–ARIZ–
Longest scoring runIONA–ARIZ–
Time leadingIONA–ARIZ–

Iona Gaels vs Arizona Wildcats odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 12 h ago
Gaels35%
Win chance
Wildcats65%
SpreadARIZ −7
Total130.5
Moneyline+187away / −187homeaway / home
Line movementARIZ win chance, 37 stored lines
+2 pts for ARIZ since Oct 29
71%55%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: ARIZ 63%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: ARIZ 62%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: ARIZ 62%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: ARIZ 62%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET: ARIZ 60%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ARIZ 65%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: ARIZ 65%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredARIZ winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET65%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET65%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 8:48 PM ET65%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET65%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET65%0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 10:13 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 8:01 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET65%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET65%+5
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET60%0
Nov 2, 2:36 PM ET60%0
Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET60%0
Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET60%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET60%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET60%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET62%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET62%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET62%−1
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET63%—
Ratings
ARIZ 1517 · IONA 1493
Home spread
−7
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

GaelsWildcats
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Wildcats–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Iona Gaels vs Arizona Wildcats prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 7-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1517 (150th of 356), Gaels 1493 (180th). The Wildcats are 1-0; the Gaels are 1-0. The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Gaels 4 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Iona Gaels

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Quinnipiac BobcatsL 62–63––matchup
vs Siena SaintsW 59–50––matchup
vs Manhattan JaspersW 65–59––matchup
at Saint Peter's PeacocksW 66–55––matchup
at Siena SaintsW 61–52––matchup

Arizona Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Arizona WildcatsL 69–84––matchup
at Arizona State Sun DevilsL 51–54––matchup
at Utah UtesL 67–81––matchup
vs Houston CougarsW 75–67––matchup
at Baylor BearsL 60–74––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Iona Gaels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Gaels1-0 1st · W1
  • Gaels rating1493 180th of 356, 0 games
  • Wildcats1-0 1st · W1
  • Wildcats rating1517 150th of 356, 1 games

Iona Gaels 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $IONAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $IONAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $IONAWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $IONAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iona Gaels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Gaels roster, schedule and more

Arizona Wildcats 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARIZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Takes on Iona Gaels at Arizona Wildcats

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