Vanderbilt Commodores open at home against Lipscomb Bisons with the score tied 0-0 at 9:53 of the first period. The house model gives Vanderbilt a 92% chance, with no crowd picks in yet to compare.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Memorial Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Lipscomb Bisons vs Vanderbilt Commodores: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLipscomb 53, Vanderbilt 112 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerVanderbilt 92%
- Pregame Projected scoreVanderbilt 75, Lipscomb 55
- Model spreadVanderbilt −20 total 130.5
- Margin59 projected 20
- Total165 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Lipscomb Bisons or Vanderbilt Commodores: the bandwagon
Axle 8–92Market –
FinalPregame: VAN 92%Baseline: VAN 99.1% (+6.6)Big swing: 2.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 15 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 53 |
| VAN | 27 | 36 | 23 | 26 | 112 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Lipscomb Bisons at Vanderbilt Commodores win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for VAN over the last 5:00
Big swing2.4 ptstoward VAN at 0:44 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineVAN 99.1%game average, +6.6 points from the pregame 92.4%
Lipscomb Bisons vs Vanderbilt Commodores live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | LIP | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | LIP18/59 | VAN45/72 |
| 3-pointers | LIP9/28 | VAN8/21 |
| Free throws | LIP8/9 | VAN14/20 |
| Rebounds | LIP30 | VAN40 |
| Assists | LIP12 | VAN27 |
| Turnovers | LIP31 | VAN11 |
| Steals | LIP3 | VAN22 |
| Blocks | LIP1 | VAN7 |
| Points in the paint | LIP16 | VAN62 |
| Fast-break points | LIP12 | VAN33 |
| Fouls | LIP18 | VAN17 |
| Largest lead | LIP0 | VAN63 |
Lipscomb Bisons vs Vanderbilt Commodores team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | LIP | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LIP53 | VAN112 |
| Average win probability | LIP1% | VAN99% |
| Longest scoring run | LIP+5 | VAN+17 |
| Time leading | LIP0:00 | VAN38:26 |
Lipscomb Bisons vs Vanderbilt Commodores odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET
Bisons8%
Win chanceCommodores92%
SpreadVAN −20closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+1224away / −1224homeaway / home
Line movementVAN win chance, 9 stored lines
+29 pts for VAN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
100%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | VAN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 12:31 PM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 92% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 96% | +33 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- VAN 1720 · LIP 1442
- Home spread
- −20
- Stored
- Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET · 2026-11-02 18:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Lipscomb Bisons 53, Vanderbilt Commodores 112. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BisonsCommodores
Neutrals only–
BisonsCommodores
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Commodores–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Lipscomb Bisons vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Commodores a 20-point favorite at home, with a 92% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Commodores 1727 (12th of 356), Bisons 1435 (243rd). The Commodores are 1-0; the Bisons are 0-1. The Commodores have won 3 of their last 5; the Bisons 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Commodores won 3, the Bisons 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Lipscomb Bisons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Vanderbilt Commodores | L 53–112 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Austin Peay Governors | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Austin Peay Governors | L 43–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bellarmine Knights | W 87–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Alabama Lions | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Lipscomb Bisons | W 112–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 64–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois Fighting Illini | W 75–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | W 102–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ole Miss Rebels | L 78–89 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lipscomb Bisons at Vanderbilt Commodores | 50–102 | – | – | matchup | |
| Lipscomb Bisons at Vanderbilt Commodores | 50–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| Lipscomb Bisons at Vanderbilt Commodores | 71–72 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Lipscomb Bisons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Vanderbilt Commodores: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bisons0-1 5th · L1
- Bisons rating1435 243rd of 356, 1 games
- Commodores1-0 15th · W1
- Commodores rating1727 12th of 356, 1 games
Lipscomb Bisons 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LIPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LIPWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LIPWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Lipscomb Bisons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $VANWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $VANWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $VANWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $VANWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Vanderbilt Commodores bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Lipscomb Bisons at Vanderbilt Commodores
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Final: Lipscomb 53, Vanderbilt 112. Bandwagon's model had the Vanderbilt at 92% and projected Vanderbilt 75, Lipscomb 55; spread Vanderbilt −20, total 130.5.