UT Arlington Mavericks vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerTCU 96%
- Projected scoreTCU 77, UT Arlington 54
- Model spreadTCU −24 total 131
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UT Arlington Mavericks or TCU Horned Frogs: the bandwagon
Axle 4–96Market –
UT Arlington Mavericks at TCU Horned Frogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs TCU Horned Frogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs TCU Horned Frogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UTA | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTA– | TCU– |
| Average win probability | UTA– | TCU– |
| Longest scoring run | UTA– | TCU– |
| Time leading | UTA– | TCU– |
UT Arlington Mavericks vs TCU Horned Frogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 96% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 96% | — |
- Ratings
- TCU 1751 · UTA 1407
- Home spread
- −24
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UT Arlington Mavericks vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Horned Frogs a 24-point favorite at home, with a 96% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Horned Frogs 1751 (7th of 356), Mavericks 1407 (268th). The Horned Frogs are 1-0; the Mavericks are 0-1. The Horned Frogs have won 4 of their last 5; the Mavericks 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | L 61–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Abilene Christian Wildcats | L 50–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 70–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Tech Trailblazers | W 77–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Abilene Christian Wildcats | L 57–72 | – | – | matchup |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W 99–43 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 52–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Cavaliers | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington Huskies | W 62–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UC San Diego Tritons | W 86–40 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
UT Arlington Mavericks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
TCU Horned Frogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mavericks0-1 8th · L1
- Mavericks rating1407 268th of 356, 1 games
- Horned Frogs1-0 10th · W1
- Horned Frogs rating1751 7th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Arlington Mavericks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
TCU Horned Frogs 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TCUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the TCU Horned Frogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UT Arlington Mavericks at TCU Horned Frogs
Sign in to post a take on $UTAWBBTCUWBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: TCU 96% to win. Projected score TCU 77, UT Arlington 54; spread TCU −24, total 131. UT Arlington Mavericks at TCU Horned Frogs, Wed, Nov 18, 7:30 PM ET.