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NCAA Women's Basketball · · First National Bank Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: final score and how the prediction did, February 24, 2026

Troy Trojans or Arkansas State Red Wolves: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 1-0
6154
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatTROYARST
ScoreTROY61ARST54
Average win probabilityTROY–ARST–
Longest scoring runTROY–ARST–
Time leadingTROY–ARST–

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TrojansRed Wolves
Neutrals only–
TrojansRed Wolves
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Red Wolves–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Troy Trojans vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction

Ratings: Red Wolves 1602 (75th of 356), Trojans 1642 (45th). The Red Wolves are 0-1; the Trojans are 1-0. The Red Wolves have won 3 of their last 5; the Trojans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Wolves won 3, the Trojans 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Troy Trojans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Kent State Golden FlashesW 89–78––matchup
at Kansas JayhawksL 70–79––matchup
vs James Madison DukesL 52–69––matchup
vs Arkansas State Red WolvesW 83–73––matchup
at South Alabama JaguarsL 69–76––matchup

Arkansas State Red Wolves

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Ball State CardinalsL 74–84––matchup
vs Marshall Thundering HerdL 62–69––matchup
vs Cleveland State VikingsW 71–53––matchup
vs Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsW 83–72––matchup
vs Radford HighlandersW 83–52––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans73–83––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans64–86––matchup
Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves66–81––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans89–85––matchup
Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves77–91––matchup
Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves77–65––matchup

Injuries

Troy Trojans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Arkansas State Red Wolves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Trojans1-0 9th · W1
  • Trojans rating1642 45th of 356, 1 games
  • Red Wolves0-1 10th · L1
  • Red Wolves rating1602 75th of 356, 1 games

Troy Trojans 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TROYWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TROYWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Troy Trojans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Trojans roster, schedule and more

Arkansas State Red Wolves 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 10th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ARSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas State Red Wolves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Wolves roster, schedule and more

Takes on Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves

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