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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Emil and Patricia Jones Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

South Dakota Coyotes vs Chicago State Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

South Dakota Coyotes or Chicago State Cougars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 79–21Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CHST 21%
Record 1-0
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Record 0-1
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 2:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

South Dakota Coyotes at Chicago State Cougars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Chicago State Cougars live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Chicago State Cougars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSDAKCHST
ScoreSDAK–CHST–
Average win probabilitySDAK–CHST–
Longest scoring runSDAK–CHST–
Time leadingSDAK–CHST–

South Dakota Coyotes vs Chicago State Cougars odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5:04 AM ET
Coyotes79%
Win chance
Cougars21%
SpreadSDAK −6.5
Total130.5
Moneyline−376away / +376homeaway / home
Line movementCHST win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
26%15%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: CHST 21%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: CHST 21%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredCHST winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET21%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET21%—
Ratings
CHST 1309 · SDAK 1551
Home spread
+6.5
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

CoyotesCougars
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cougars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

South Dakota Coyotes vs Chicago State Cougars prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Coyotes a 6.5-point favorite, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cougars 1309 (343rd of 356), Coyotes 1551 (122nd). The Cougars are 0-1; the Coyotes are 1-0. The Cougars have won 1 of their last 5; the Coyotes 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

South Dakota Coyotes

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Illinois State RedbirdsL 60–67––matchup
vs Montana State BobcatsW 65–56––matchup
vs Pepperdine WavesW 73–57––matchup
vs Northern Colorado BearsW 80–60––matchup
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 59–74––matchup

Chicago State Cougars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Illinois State RedbirdsL 69–106––matchup
at Long Island University SharksL 77–99––matchup
vs Wagner SeahawksW 84–75––matchup
vs Long Island University SharksL 68–83––matchup
at Central Connecticut Blue DevilsL 75–86––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

South Dakota Coyotes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Chicago State Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Coyotes1-0 2nd · W1
  • Coyotes rating1551 122nd of 356, 0 games
  • Cougars0-1 4th · L1
  • Cougars rating1309 343rd of 356, 1 games

South Dakota Coyotes 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SDAKWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SDAKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Dakota Coyotes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Coyotes roster, schedule and more

Chicago State Cougars 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CHSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago State Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cougars roster, schedule and more

Takes on South Dakota Coyotes at Chicago State Cougars

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Model: South Dakota 79% to win. Projected score South Dakota 68, Chicago State 62; spread South Dakota −6.5, total 130.5. South Dakota Coyotes at Chicago State Cougars, Wed, Nov 18, 2:00 PM ET.