Portland Pilots vs Montana State Bobcats prediction, odds and picks, November 8, 2026
- Projected winnerMontana State 75%
- Projected scoreMontana State 70, Portland 60
- Model spreadMontana State −10 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Portland Pilots or Montana State Bobcats: the bandwagon
Axle 25–75Market –
Portland Pilots at Montana State Bobcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Portland Pilots vs Montana State Bobcats live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Portland Pilots vs Montana State Bobcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | PORT | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PORT– | MTST– |
| Average win probability | PORT– | MTST– |
| Longest scoring run | PORT– | MTST– |
| Time leading | PORT– | MTST– |
Portland Pilots vs Montana State Bobcats odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MTST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:15 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 7:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:26 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:17 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 75% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 78% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 78% | +15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- MTST 1625 · PORT 1543
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Portland Pilots vs Montana State Bobcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 10-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bobcats 1625 (59th of 356), Pilots 1543 (126th). The Bobcats are 1-0; the Pilots are 1-0. The Bobcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Pilots 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bobcats won 2, the Pilots 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Portland Pilots
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Montana State Bobcats | L 54–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lamar Cardinals | W 78–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 62–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon State Beavers | L 50–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 72–62 | – | – | matchup |
Montana State Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 56–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | W 72–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Francisco Dons | W 69–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Idaho Vandals | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Washington Eagles | W 79–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Pilots at Montana State Bobcats | 54–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| Montana State Bobcats at Portland Pilots | 86–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| Montana State Bobcats at Portland Pilots | 64–73 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Portland Pilots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Montana State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Pilots1-0 4th · W1
- Pilots rating1543 126th of 356, 0 games
- Bobcats1-0 3rd · W1
- Bobcats rating1625 59th of 356, 0 games
Portland Pilots 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $PORTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Portland Pilots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $MTSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montana State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Montana State 75% to win. Projected score Montana State 70, Portland 60; spread Montana State −10, total 130.5. Portland Pilots at Montana State Bobcats, Sun, Nov 8, 4:00 PM ET.