New Mexico State Aggies vs Arizona Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
New Mexico State at Arizona: Bandwagon's model makes Arizona a 79% favorite (Arizona −12).
New Mexico State Aggies vs Arizona Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Arizona a 79% chance to win, by about 12 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Arizona
All WCBB ratings| NMSU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1378 293rd of 357 | 1529 142nd of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ARIZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 79% | −4 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 6:48 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:38 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:38 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:23 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 83% | +1 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:43 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:24 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:47 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | — |
New Mexico State Aggies vs Arizona Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 12-point favorite at home, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Wildcats 1529 (142nd of 357), Aggies 1378 (293rd). The Wildcats are 2-0; the Aggies are 2-1. The Wildcats have won 2 of their last 5; the Aggies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Aggies 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
New Mexico State Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UTEP Miners | W 69–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds | W 64–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego Toreros | L 56–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sam Houston Bearkats | L 55–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | L 47–88 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Iona Gaels | W 74–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 69–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 51–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah Utes | L 67–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | W 75–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats at New Mexico State Aggies | 68–57 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New Mexico State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Aggies2-1 6th · W2
- Aggies rating1378 293rd of 357, 2 games
- Wildcats2-0 12th · W2
- Wildcats rating1529 142nd of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $NMSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Mexico State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Arizona Wildcats 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $ARIZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New Mexico State Aggies at Arizona Wildcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Arizona 79% to win. Projected score Arizona 71, New Mexico State 60; spread Arizona −12, total 131. New Mexico State Aggies at Arizona Wildcats, Thu, Nov 19, 8:00 PM ET.