Missouri State Lady Bears vs Kansas City Roos prediction, odds and picks, November 22, 2026
Missouri State at Kansas City: Bandwagon's model makes Missouri State an 89% favorite (Missouri State −11.5).
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Kansas City Roos odds and win probability
Axle gives Missouri State a 89% chance to win, by about 12 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Missouri State
All WCBB ratings| MOST | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1624 67th of 357 | 1355 310th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | KC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:38 PM ET | 11% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 11% | −2 |
| Nov 10, 1:47 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:58 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:48 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:53 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 13% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 13% | — |
Missouri State Lady Bears vs Kansas City Roos prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lady Bears a 11.5-point favorite, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 133.5. Ratings: Roos 1355 (310th of 357), Lady Bears 1624 (67th). The Roos are 2-1; the Lady Bears are 3-0. The Roos have won 1 of their last 5; the Lady Bears 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Wichita State Shockers | W 76–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowgirls | W 72–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 77–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 45–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W 85–75 | – | – | matchup |
Kansas City Roos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arkansas Razorbacks | L 81–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wichita State Shockers | W 83–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota State Jackrabbits | L 61–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at St. Thomas Tommies | L 71–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | L 68–70 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Missouri State Lady Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kansas City Roos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Bears3-0 1st · W3
- Lady Bears rating1624 67th of 357, 2 games
- Roos2-1 2nd · L1
- Roos rating1355 310th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MOSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Missouri State Lady Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Kansas City Roos 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $KCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas City Roos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Missouri State Lady Bears at Kansas City Roos
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Missouri State 89% to win. Projected score Missouri State 73, Kansas City 61; spread Missouri State −11.5, total 133.5. Missouri State Lady Bears at Kansas City Roos, Sun, Nov 22, 12:00 PM ET.