East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerEast Tennessee State 65%
- Projected scoreEast Tennessee State 66, Gardner-Webb 64
- Model spreadEast Tennessee State −1.5 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
East Tennessee State Buccaneers or Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: the bandwagon
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Axle 65–35Market –
East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ETSU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ETSU– | GWEB– |
| Average win probability | ETSU– | GWEB– |
| Longest scoring run | ETSU– | GWEB– |
| Time leading | ETSU– | GWEB– |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GWEB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 35% | — |
- Ratings
- GWEB 1383 · ETSU 1530
- Home spread
- +1.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Buccaneers a 1.5-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Runnin' Bulldogs 1383 (297th of 356), Buccaneers 1530 (140th). The Runnin' Bulldogs are 0-0; the Buccaneers are 1-0. The Runnin' Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Runnin' Bulldogs won 0, the Buccaneers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs West Florida Argonauts | W 73–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Samford Bulldogs | L 48–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Greensboro Spartans | W 62–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Samford Bulldogs | W 46–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mercer Bears | W 58–51 | – | – | matchup |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Winthrop Eagles | L 52–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Radford Highlanders | L 59–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Upstate Spartans | W 52–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs High Point Panthers | L 53–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Longwood Lancers | W 53–51 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 37–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 44–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs at East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 48–60 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
East Tennessee State Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buccaneers1-0 2nd · W1
- Buccaneers rating1530 140th of 356, 1 games
- Runnin' Bulldogs0-0 7th · -
- Runnin' Bulldogs rating1383 297th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ETSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $GWEBWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
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Model: East Tennessee State 65% to win. Projected score East Tennessee State 66, Gardner-Webb 64; spread East Tennessee State −1.5, total 130.5. East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs, Wed, Nov 18, 6:00 PM ET.