Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Nicholls Colonels prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerNicholls 69%
- Projected scoreNicholls 69, Alcorn State 61
- Model spreadNicholls −8 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Alcorn State Lady Braves or Nicholls Colonels: the bandwagon
Axle 31–69Market –
Alcorn State Lady Braves at Nicholls Colonels win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Nicholls Colonels live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Nicholls Colonels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | ALCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ALCN– | NICH– |
| Average win probability | ALCN– | NICH– |
| Longest scoring run | ALCN– | NICH– |
| Time leading | ALCN– | NICH– |
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Nicholls Colonels odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | — |
- Ratings
- NICH 1465 · ALCN 1440
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Alcorn State Lady Braves vs Nicholls Colonels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Colonels a 8-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Colonels 1465 (212th of 356), Lady Braves 1440 (240th). The Colonels are 1-0; the Lady Braves are 0-1. The Colonels have won 2 of their last 5; the Lady Braves 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Colonels won 2, the Lady Braves 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Alcorn State Lady Braves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ole Miss Rebels | L 38–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | L 65–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 60–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | L 61–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | W 67–56 | – | – | matchup |
Nicholls Colonels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L 60–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 81–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions | W 57–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowgirls | L 59–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | L 57–77 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels at Alcorn State Lady Braves | 72–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| Alcorn State Lady Braves at Nicholls Colonels | 55–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| Nicholls Colonels at Alcorn State Lady Braves | 46–54 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Alcorn State Lady Braves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Nicholls Colonels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lady Braves0-1 4th · L1
- Lady Braves rating1440 240th of 356, 1 games
- Colonels1-0 5th · W1
- Colonels rating1465 212th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ALCNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alcorn State Lady Braves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NICHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nicholls Colonels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Alcorn State Lady Braves at Nicholls Colonels
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Model: Nicholls 69% to win. Projected score Nicholls 69, Alcorn State 61; spread Nicholls −8, total 130.5. Alcorn State Lady Braves at Nicholls Colonels, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.