Atalanta vs Fiorentina: final score and how the prediction did, October 29, 2026
- Final scoreAtalanta 2, Fiorentina 2 a draw
- Pregame Projected winnerAtalanta 51%
- Pregame Projected scorelevel, 1.5 each draw 24%
- Model spreadeven total 3
- Margin0 projected 0
- Total4 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 1.1 · Updated
Atalanta or Fiorentina: the bandwagon
Axle 51–25Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATA | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| FIO | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Atalanta at Fiorentina win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ATA | FIO |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ATA49.8% | FIO50.2% |
| Shots | ATA10 | FIO26 |
| Shots on target | ATA5 | FIO4 |
| Corners | ATA2 | FIO8 |
| Passes completed | ATA410/480 | FIO406/467 |
| Saves | ATA2 | FIO3 |
| Fouls | ATA13 | FIO10 |
| Offsides | ATA1 | FIO0 |
| Yellow cards | ATA2 | FIO3 |
| Red cards | ATA0 | FIO0 |
Atalanta vs Fiorentina team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ATA | FIO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ATA2 | FIO2 |
| Average win probability | ATA56% | FIO44% |
| Longest scoring run | ATA+1 | FIO+2 |
| Time leading | ATA12:00 | FIO13:00 |
Atalanta vs Fiorentina odds
Every stored line
| Stored | FIO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 25% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 25% | — |
- Ratings
- FIO 1333 · ATA 1433
- Home spread
- PK
- Stored
- Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET · 2026-10-29 10:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 1.1
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Atalanta 2, Fiorentina 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
The inputs behind this line were not recorded (it was stored before model 2.0). Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
2 picks so far; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Atalanta the favorite, with a 51% chance to win and a 24% chance of a draw; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 3. Ratings: Fiorentina 1406 (11th of 20), Atalanta 1463 (10th). The Fiorentina are 2-6-2; the Atalanta are 3-5-2. The Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5; the Atalanta 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Fiorentina won 3, the Atalanta 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Atalanta
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Parma | L 0–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fiorentina | T 2–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Frosinone | T 4–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at AC Milan | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Venezia | W 3–1 | – | – | matchup |
Fiorentina
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta at Fiorentina | 1–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Fiorentina at Atalanta | 0–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Atalanta at Fiorentina | 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Fiorentina at Atalanta | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Fiorentina at Atalanta | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Atalanta at Fiorentina | 2–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Atalanta: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Fiorentina: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Atalanta3-5-2 13th
- Atalanta rating1463 10th of 20, 10 games
- Fiorentina2-6-2 16th
- Fiorentina rating1406 11th of 20, 10 games
Atalanta 3-5-2
Serie A · 13th
No stances yet today on $ATALANTA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Atalanta bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Fiorentina 2-6-2
Serie A · 16th
No stances yet today on $FIORENTINA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fiorentina bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Atalanta at Fiorentina
Sign in to post a take on $ATALANTAFIORENTINA261029: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.