National Hockey League odds Wednesday, November 25
Win chance, spread and total for every game. This week's National Hockey League odds · Today's National Hockey League predictions · Standings · every league
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide
National Hockey League odds Wednesday, November 25
14 games| Game | Kick (ET) | Axle win | Spread | Total | Moneyline (away / home) | Movement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues at Islanders | Islanders 50% | PK | 6 | +100 / −100 | no move | Matchup | |
| Devils at Blue Jackets | Devils 52% | PK | 6 | −110 / +110 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flames at Penguins | Penguins 58% | Penguins −0.5 | 6 | +141 / −141 | no move | Matchup | |
| Flyers at Capitals | Capitals 61% | Capitals −0.5 | 6.5 | +159 / −159 | no move | Matchup | |
| Hurricanes at Lightning | Hurricanes 53% | PK | 7 | −112 / +112 | no move | Matchup | |
| Jets at Bruins | Bruins 61% | Bruins −0.5 | 6.5 | +157 / −157 | no move | Matchup | |
| Rangers at Sabres | Sabres 57% | Sabres −0.5 | 6.5 | +132 / −132 | no move | Matchup | |
| Senators at Panthers | Panthers 51% | PK | 6.5 | +104 / −104 | no move | Matchup | |
| Canucks at Red Wings | Red Wings 66% | Red Wings −1 | 6.5 | +197 / −197 | no move | Matchup | |
| Mammoth at Wild | Wild 63% | Wild −1 | 6 | +167 / −167 | no move | Matchup | |
| Predators at Stars | Stars 58% | Stars −0.5 | 6.5 | +136 / −136 | no move | Matchup | |
| Canadiens at Avalanche | Avalanche 56% | Avalanche −0.5 | 6.5 | +126 / −126 | no move | Matchup | |
| Blackhawks at Kraken | Kraken 63% | Kraken −1 | 6.5 | +167 / −167 | no move | Matchup | |
| Sharks at Ducks | Ducks 61% | Ducks −0.5 | 7 | +157 / −157 | no move | Matchup |
How these lines are made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal inputs
- Ratings from results used in 14 of 14
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results - Home advantage used in 14 of 14
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results - Schedule in the data but not used for 14
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures - Recent form in the data but not used for 14
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External inputs
- Injuries unavailable for 14 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores - Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 14
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC - Weather unavailable for 14 (Indoor sport)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
National Hockey League team ratings
The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.
| # | Team | Rating | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 1612 | 20 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1569 | 19 |
| 3 | Colorado Avalanche | 1567 | 20 |
| 4 | Minnesota Wild | 1564 | 21 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 1551 | 19 |
| 6 | Vegas Golden Knights | 1548 | 20 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 1539 | 20 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 1538 | 19 |
| 9 | Dallas Stars | 1531 | 18 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 1527 | 20 |
| 11 | New Jersey Devils | 1525 | 20 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 1523 | 17 |
Top 12 of 32; every team's rating is on its page.
National Hockey League model record
Over 4419 National Hockey League games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 57% of the time, Brier score 0.2412, mean spread error 2.135 points, mean total error 1.863. Calibration and method.
Bandwagon's model lines for National Hockey League games Wednesday, November 25: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.