San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Sharks at Ducks: Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks a 61% favorite (Ducks −0.5).
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Ducks a 61% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Ducks win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 61%.
The largest gap is 2 points: Polymarket has the Ducks at 63%, Axle at 61%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
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Why Axle has the Ducks
All NHL ratings| SJ | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1431 30th of 32 | 1485 20th of 32 |
| Record | 8-11-2 | 10-8-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 3 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ANA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 12:18 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 10:48 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:53 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:43 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 2:52 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | — |
Sharks vs Ducks odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Ducks at 63%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 61%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | SJ | ANA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 39% | 61% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
San Jose Sharks vs Anaheim Ducks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 61% chance to win. The model total is 7. Ratings: Ducks 1485 (20th of 32), Sharks 1431 (30th). The Ducks are 10-8-1 in the Pacific Division; the Sharks are 8-11-2 in the Pacific Division. The Ducks have won 4 of their last 5; the Sharks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Ducks won 3, the Sharks 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
San Jose Sharks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Pittsburgh Penguins | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Islanders | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dallas Stars | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Wild | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Los Angeles Kings | L 2–7 | – | – | matchup |
Anaheim Ducks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Nashville Predators | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Penguins | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Calgary Flames | W 5–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Edmonton Oilers | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vancouver Canucks | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks | 0–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks | 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks | 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks | 7–6 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
San Jose Sharks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Anaheim Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Sharks8-11-2 Pacific Division, 5th · L1
- Sharks rating1431 30th of 32, 21 games
- Ducks10-8-1 Pacific Division, 3rd · L1
- Ducks rating1485 20th of 32, 19 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
San Jose Sharks 8-11-2
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SHARKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the San Jose Sharks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Anaheim Ducks 10-8-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $DUCKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Anaheim Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Ducks 61% to win. Projected score Ducks 3.9, Sharks 3.1; spread Ducks −0.5, total 7. Polymarket 63% for the Ducks. San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks, Wed, Nov 25, 10:00 PM ET.