Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Mammoth at Wild: Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 63% favorite (Wild −1).
Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Wild a 63% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Wild win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 63%.
The largest gap is 1 point: Polymarket has the Wild at 64%, Axle at 63%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
Pick a side, then say why in a take. Change it any time before puck drop. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Why Axle has the Wild
All NHL ratings| UTAH | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1500 17th of 32 | 1564 4th of 32 |
| Record | 10-8-2 | 14-3-4 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | W2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 4 | 2 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MIN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 12:18 AM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Nov 12, 10:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:43 PM ET | 62% | +1 |
| Nov 12, 2:52 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 5:04 AM ET | 61% | — |
Mammoth vs Wild odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Wild at 64%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 63%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | UTAH | MIN | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 38% | 63% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wild a 1-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 6. Ratings: Wild 1564 (4th of 32), Mammoth 1500 (17th). The Wild are 14-3-4 in the Central Division; the Mammoth are 10-8-2 in the Central Division. The Wild have won 4 of their last 5; the Mammoth 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wild won 2, the Mammoth 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Utah Mammoth
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs St. Louis Blues | L 0–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vegas Golden Knights | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ottawa Senators | L 2–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup |
Minnesota Wild
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Jose Sharks | W 4–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Philadelphia Flyers | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth | 3–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild | 0–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth | 2–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild | 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth | 1–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild | 4–0 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Utah Mammoth: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Minnesota Wild: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mammoth10-8-2 Central Division, 5th · L4
- Mammoth rating1500 17th of 32, 20 games
- Wild14-3-4 Central Division, 1st · W2
- Wild rating1564 4th of 32, 21 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Utah Mammoth 10-8-2
National Hockey League · Central Division · 5th · streak L4
1 stance today on $MAMMOTH: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah Mammoth bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Minnesota Wild 14-3-4
National Hockey League · Central Division · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WILD: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Minnesota Wild bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild
Sign in to post a take on $MAMMOTHWILD261126: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Wild 63% to win. Projected score Wild 3.4, Mammoth 2.6; spread Wild −1, total 6. Polymarket 64% for the Wild. Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild, Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM ET.