Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Blackhawks at Kraken: Bandwagon's model makes the Kraken a 63% favorite (Kraken −1).
Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Kraken a 63% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Kraken win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 63%.
The largest gap is 5 points: Axle has the Kraken at 63%, Polymarket at 58%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
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Why Axle has the Kraken
All NHL ratings| CHI | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1399 31st of 32 | 1463 26th of 32 |
| Record | 5-13-1 | 9-7-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SEA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 13, 12:18 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 10:48 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:53 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 9:43 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 12, 2:52 PM ET | 63% | −1 |
| Nov 12, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | — |
Blackhawks vs Kraken odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Kraken at 58%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 63%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | CHI | SEA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 42% | 58% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 37% | 63% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Kraken a 1-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Kraken 1463 (26th of 32), Blackhawks 1399 (31st). The Kraken are 9-7-1 in the Pacific Division; the Blackhawks are 5-13-1 in the Central Division. The Kraken have won 2 of their last 5; the Blackhawks 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Kraken won 4, the Blackhawks 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Chicago Blackhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Buffalo Sabres | W 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 2–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tampa Bay Lightning | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Panthers | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Avalanche | L 2–5 | – | – | matchup |
Seattle Kraken
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 1–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New York Rangers | L 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Calgary Flames | W 2–1 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Calgary Flames | L 2–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken | 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks | 3–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks | 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks | 1–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken | 1–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chicago Blackhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Seattle Kraken: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blackhawks5-13-1 Central Division, 8th · W1
- Blackhawks rating1399 31st of 32, 19 games
- Kraken9-7-1 Pacific Division, 4th · L2
- Kraken rating1463 26th of 32, 17 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Chicago Blackhawks 5-13-1
National Hockey League · Central Division · 8th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BLACKHAWKS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chicago Blackhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Seattle Kraken 9-7-1
National Hockey League · Pacific Division · 4th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $KRAKEN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Seattle Kraken bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Kraken 63% to win. Projected score Kraken 3.6, Blackhawks 2.9; spread Kraken −1, total 6.5. Polymarket 58% for the Kraken. Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken, Wed, Nov 25, 9:40 PM ET.