New York Islanders vs Winnipeg Jets prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
Islanders at Jets: Bandwagon's model makes the Jets a 54% favorite (Jets −0.5).
New York Islanders vs Winnipeg Jets model odds and win probability
Axle gives the Jets a 54% chance to win.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Axle versus the markets and the crowd
Every NHL marketEach bar is the chance that the Jets win. The thin blue mark is Axle's 54%.
The largest gap is 6 points: Axle has the Jets at 54%, Polymarket at 48%.
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Hop on a side before puck drop
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Why Axle has the Jets
All NHL ratings| NYI | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1475 22nd of 32 | 1470 24th of 32 |
| Record | 7-6-4 | 8-8-3 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | W4 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 4 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results and home advantage; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | WPG win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 54% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:02 AM ET | 53% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 12:12 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 8:43 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:47 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:47 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:42 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:52 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:32 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 52% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 9:55 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:39 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:40 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:44 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | — |
Islanders vs Jets odds on Polymarket
Every NHL marketPolymarket prices the Jets at 48%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 54%.
Prices read: Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | NYI | WPG | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 52% | 48% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 46% | 54% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
New York Islanders vs Winnipeg Jets prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jets a 0.5-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 6.5. Ratings: Jets 1470 (24th of 32), Islanders 1475 (22nd). The Jets are 8-8-3 in the Central Division; the Islanders are 7-6-4 in the Metropolitan Division. The Jets have won 4 of their last 5; the Islanders 1 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jets won 4, the Islanders 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
New York Islanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at San Jose Sharks | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs New Jersey Devils | L 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Carolina Hurricanes | L 3–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Edmonton Oilers | L 0–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Wild | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup |
Winnipeg Jets
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs New Jersey Devils | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tampa Bay Lightning | W 4–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vancouver Canucks | W 6–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montreal Canadiens | W 5–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Carolina Hurricanes | L 0–7 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets | 4–5 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders | 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders | 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets | 3–4 | – | – | matchup | |
| Winnipeg Jets at New York Islanders | 3–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets | 2–4 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New York Islanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Winnipeg Jets: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Islanders7-6-4 Metropolitan Division, 5th · L4
- Islanders rating1475 22nd of 32, 17 games
- Jets8-8-3 Central Division, 6th · W4
- Jets rating1470 24th of 32, 18 games
More NHL games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
New York Islanders 7-6-4
National Hockey League · Metropolitan Division · 5th · streak L4
No stances yet today on $ISLANDERS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New York Islanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Winnipeg Jets 8-8-3
National Hockey League · Central Division · 6th · streak W4
No stances yet today on $JETSWPG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Winnipeg Jets bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In National Hockey League a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:33 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Jets 54% to win. Projected score Jets 3.4, Islanders 3.1; spread Jets −0.5, total 6.5. Polymarket 48% for the Jets. New York Islanders at Winnipeg Jets, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.