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Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins: final score and how the prediction did, July 28, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies or Miami Marlins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
Record 88-74
01
Record 80-82
Game clock
Final
Inning & outs
Final
At bat
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Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%123456789
0%20%40%60%80%100%369

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatPHIMIA
ScorePHI0MIA1
Average win probabilityPHI–MIA–
Longest scoring runPHI–MIA–
Time leadingPHI–MIA–

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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PhilliesMarlins
Neutrals only–
PhilliesMarlins
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Marlins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction

Ratings: Marlins 1499 (18th of 30), Phillies 1527 (9th). The Marlins are 80-82 in the National League East; the Phillies are 88-74 in the National League East. The Marlins have won 3 of their last 5; the Phillies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Marlins won 3, the Phillies 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Philadelphia Phillies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Atlanta BravesL 2–6––matchup
at Atlanta BravesW 4–3––matchup
at Atlanta BravesL 3–5––matchup
vs Tampa Bay RaysW 7–3––matchup
vs Tampa Bay RaysL 1–12––matchup

Miami Marlins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Atlanta BravesW 5–3––matchup
vs Atlanta BravesL 3–8––matchup
vs Atlanta BravesW 3–0––matchup
at Chicago CubsL 1–2––matchup
at Chicago CubsW 3–2––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies1–4––matchup
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies4–6––matchup
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies5–6––matchup
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins6–8––matchup
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins7–8––matchup
Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies12–4––matchup

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Miami Marlins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Phillies88-74 National League East, 1st · W1
  • Phillies rating1527 9th of 30, 165 games
  • Marlins80-82 National League East, 3rd · W1
  • Marlins rating1499 18th of 30, 162 games

Philadelphia Phillies 88-74

Major League Baseball · National League East · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PHILLIES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PHILLIES
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PHILLIES
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No stances yet today on $PHILLIES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Philadelphia Phillies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Phillies roster, schedule and more

Miami Marlins 80-82

Major League Baseball · National League East · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MARLINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MARLINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MARLINS
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MARLINS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami Marlins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Marlins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins

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