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bandwagon.Newsletter
Axle 2.077% straight up634 games
LaLiga · · Mendizorrotza Stadium · every La Liga line

Elche vs Alavés: final score and how the prediction did, October 5, 2025

Elche or Alavés: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle no line yetMarket –

Final
Record 2-5-4
13
Record 3-5-3
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Elche at Alavés win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'
0%20%40%60%80%100%0'45'90'

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Elche vs Alavés live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Elche vs Alavés team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatELCALA
ScoreELC1ALA3
Average win probabilityELC–ALA–
Longest scoring runELC–ALA–
Time leadingELC–ALA–

Elche vs Alavés odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

ElcheAlavés
Neutrals only–
ElcheAlavés
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Alavés–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Elche vs Alavés prediction

Ratings: Alavés 1394 (16th of 20), Elche 1397 (13th). The Alavés are 3-5-3; the Elche are 2-5-4. The Alavés have won 0 of their last 5; the Elche 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Alavés won 0, the Elche 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Elche

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs ValenciaL 0–1––matchup
at Rayo VallecanoW 3–0––matchup
at VillarrealT 0–0––matchup
vs Celta VigoT 0–0––matchup
at EspanyolW 3–1––matchup

Alavés

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at BarcelonaL 1–6––matchup
vs MálagaT 1–1––matchup
at Celta VigoL 1–2––matchup
vs Atlético MadridL 1–2––matchup
at Athletic ClubT 0–0––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Alavés at Elche1–1––matchup

Injuries

Elche: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Alavés: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Elche2-5-4 17th
  • Elche rating1397 13th of 20, 11 games
  • Alavés3-5-3 11th
  • Alavés rating1394 16th of 20, 11 games

Elche 2-5-4

La Liga · 17th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ELCHE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ELCHE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ELCHE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ELCHE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Elche bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Elche roster, schedule and more

Alavés 3-5-3

La Liga · 11th

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ALAVES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ALAVES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ALAVES
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $ALAVES: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Alavés bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Alavés roster, schedule and more

Takes on Elche at Alavés

Sign in to post a take on $ELCHEALAVES251005: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.