South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
- Projected winnerSouth Alabama 51%
- Projected scoreSouth Alabama 30, Southern Miss 29
- Model spreadSouth Alabama −0.5 total 59
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Alabama Jaguars or Southern Miss Golden Eagles: the bandwagon
Axle 51–49Market –
South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | USA | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Score | USA– | USM– |
| Average win probability | USA– | USM– |
| Longest scoring run | USA– | USM– |
| Time leading | USA– | USM– |
South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USM win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 49% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 49% | — |
- Ratings
- USM 1348 · USA 1411
- Home spread
- +0.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Alabama Jaguars vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 0.5-point favorite, with a 51% chance to win. The model total is 59. Ratings: Golden Eagles 1348 (122nd of 138), Jaguars 1411 (99th). The Golden Eagles have won 2 of their last 5; the Jaguars 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Eagles won 0, the Jaguars 4.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 20–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 13–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 56–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | W 52–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 21–45 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UL Monroe Warhawks | W 35–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W 35–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 13–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Troy Trojans | L 34–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | L 21–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars | 35–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 35–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles at South Alabama Jaguars | 3–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 27–20 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars– Sun Belt - West, 3rd · L2
- Jaguars rating1411 99th of 138, 7 games
- Golden Eagles– Sun Belt - West, 6th · W2
- Golden Eagles rating1348 122nd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 3rd · streak L2
No stances yet today on $USA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - West · 6th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $USM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: South Alabama 51% to win. Projected score South Alabama 30, Southern Miss 29; spread South Alabama −0.5, total 59. South Alabama Jaguars at Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Sat, Nov 21, 12:00 AM ET.