UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
UT Martin at Southern Illinois: Bandwagon's model makes Southern Illinois a 51% favorite (Southern Illinois −1.5).
UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis odds and win probability
Axle gives Southern Illinois a 51% chance to win, by about 2 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Southern Illinois
All CBB ratings| UTM | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1476 219th of 365 | 1496 178th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:22 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:03 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:23 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 51% | −6 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 56% | −1 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:37 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:43 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:34 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:48 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:33 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:14 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:53 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:58 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:03 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:35 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:26 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:59 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:14 PM ET | 57% | +1 |
| Nov 7, 7:09 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:54 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:29 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 56% | — |
UT Martin Skyhawks vs Southern Illinois Salukis prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Salukis a 1.5-point favorite, with a 51% chance to win. The model total is 151. Ratings: Salukis 1496 (178th of 365), Skyhawks 1476 (219th). The Salukis are 1-1; the Skyhawks are 1-2. The Salukis have won 3 of their last 5; the Skyhawks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Salukis won 1, the Skyhawks 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 82–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at IU Indianapolis Jaguars | L 74–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | L 98–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee State Tigers | L 55–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Illinois Panthers | W 66–63 | – | – | matchup |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Kansas City Roos | L 93–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Drake Bulldogs | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Evansville Purple Aces | W 81–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana State Sycamores | W 66–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Iowa Panthers | W 59–57 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Martin Skyhawks at Southern Illinois Salukis | 54–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UT Martin Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Southern Illinois Salukis: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Skyhawks1-2 7th · W1
- Skyhawks rating1476 219th of 365, 2 games
- Salukis1-1 9th · L1
- Salukis rating1496 178th of 365, 1 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UTMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UT Martin Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $SIUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Illinois Salukis bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on UT Martin Skyhawks at Southern Illinois Salukis
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Southern Illinois 51% to win. Projected score Southern Illinois 76, UT Martin 75; spread Southern Illinois −1.5, total 151. UT Martin Skyhawks at Southern Illinois Salukis, Fri, Nov 20, 5:30 PM ET.