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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Pete Mathews Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UAB Blazers or Jacksonville State Gamecocks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 41–59Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: JXST 59%
Record 0-1
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Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUABJXST
ScoreUAB–JXST–
Average win probabilityUAB–JXST–
Longest scoring runUAB–JXST–
Time leadingUAB–JXST–

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5:04 AM ET
Blazers41%
Win chance
Gamecocks59%
SpreadJXST −3.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+143away / −143homeaway / home
Line movementJXST win chance, 27 stored lines
+3 pts for JXST since Nov 1
64%51%
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: JXST 56%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: JXST 56%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: JXST 56%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: JXST 59%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: JXST 59%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: JXST 59%
Nov 1Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredJXST winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET59%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET59%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET59%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET59%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET59%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET59%0
Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET59%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET59%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET59%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET59%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET59%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET59%0
Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET59%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET59%+3
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET56%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET56%—
Ratings
JXST 1482 · UAB 1531
Home spread
−3.5
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BlazersGamecocks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Gamecocks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UAB Blazers vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 3.5-point favorite at home, with a 59% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Gamecocks 1482 (205th of 361), Blazers 1531 (130th). The Gamecocks are 1-0; the Blazers are 0-1. The Gamecocks have won 2 of their last 5; the Blazers 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UAB Blazers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at McNeese CowboysL 78–99––matchup
vs Charlotte 49ersL 78–83––matchup
vs East Carolina PiratesW 90–83––matchup
at Charlotte 49ersW 80–74––matchup
vs North Texas Mean GreenL 58–62––matchup

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs New Mexico State AggiesL 63–68––matchup
at UTEP MinersW 64–61––matchup
at New Mexico State AggiesL 75–77––matchup
vs Liberty FlamesL 78–81––matchup
vs Delaware Blue HensW 80–70––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

UAB Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Jacksonville State Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Blazers0-1 11th · L1
  • Blazers rating1531 130th of 361, 1 games
  • Gamecocks1-0 3rd · W1
  • Gamecocks rating1482 205th of 361, 0 games

UAB Blazers 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UABMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UABMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UABMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UABMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAB Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blazers roster, schedule and more

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JXSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JXSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JXSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JXSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Gamecocks roster, schedule and more

Takes on UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

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Model: Jacksonville State 59% to win. Projected score Jacksonville State 75, UAB 71; spread Jacksonville State −3.5, total 145.5. UAB Blazers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET.