Tulane Green Wave vs Georgia State Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 23, 2026
Tulane at Georgia State: Bandwagon's model makes Tulane a 69% favorite (Tulane −4).
Tulane Green Wave vs Georgia State Panthers odds and win probability
Axle gives Tulane a 69% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Tulane
All CBB ratings| TULN | GAST | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1463 235th of 365 | 1390 324th of 365 |
| Record | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 games | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | GAST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:08 AM ET | 31% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 31% | −9 |
| Nov 10, 11:18 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 40% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:43 PM ET | 40% | −2 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:43 PM ET | 42% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 42% | — |
Tulane Green Wave vs Georgia State Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Green Wave a 4-point favorite, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 153. Ratings: Panthers 1390 (324th of 365), Green Wave 1463 (235th). The Panthers are 1-3; the Green Wave are 2-1. The Panthers have won 0 of their last 5; the Green Wave 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Tulane Green Wave
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Nicholls Colonels | W 77–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jackson State Tigers | L 85–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UT Martin Skyhawks | W 100–98 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 60–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | W 81–69 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 92–95 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 67–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bowling Green Falcons | L 73–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 75–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | L 73–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Tulane Green Wave: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Green Wave2-1 5th · W1
- Green Wave rating1463 235th of 365, 2 games
- Panthers1-3 12th · L1
- Panthers rating1390 324th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TULNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulane Green Wave bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $GASTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tulane Green Wave at Georgia State Panthers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Tulane 69% to win. Projected score Tulane 78, Georgia State 75; spread Tulane −4, total 153. Tulane Green Wave at Georgia State Panthers, Mon, Nov 23, 4:00 PM ET.