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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Pete Hanna Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, February 5, 2026

The Citadel Bulldogs or Samford Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
6478
Record 1-0
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

The Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCITSAM
ScoreCIT64SAM78
Average win probabilityCIT–SAM–
Longest scoring runCIT–SAM–
Time leadingCIT–SAM–

The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BulldogsBulldogs
Neutrals only–
BulldogsBulldogs
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

The Citadel Bulldogs vs Samford Bulldogs prediction

Ratings: Bulldogs 1536 (117th of 361), Bulldogs 1357 (348th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Bulldogs are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Bulldogs 2 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 6, the Bulldogs 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

The Citadel Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Loyola Chicago RamblersL 52–77––matchup
at East Tennessee State BuccaneersL 76–83––matchup
at Chattanooga MocsW 88–85––matchup
at Wofford TerriersW 93–90––matchup
at Furman PaladinsL 51–72––matchup

Samford Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Furman PaladinsL 81–86––matchup
vs UNC Greensboro SpartansW 87–78––matchup
vs VMI KeydetsW 80–61––matchup
at Mercer BearsL 86–89––matchup
at The Citadel BulldogsW 78–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Samford Bulldogs at The Citadel Bulldogs78–75––matchup
Samford Bulldogs at The Citadel Bulldogs83–58––matchup
The Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs56–86––matchup
The Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs80–92––matchup
Samford Bulldogs at The Citadel Bulldogs80–64––matchup
The Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs70–76––matchup

Injuries

The Citadel Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Samford Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bulldogs0-1 9th · L1
  • Bulldogs rating1357 348th of 361, 1 games
  • Bulldogs1-0 3rd · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1536 117th of 361, 0 games

The Citadel Bulldogs 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CITMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CITMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CITMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CITMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the The Citadel Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Samford Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SAMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SAMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Samford Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on The Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs

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