North Texas Mean Green vs App State Mountaineers prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
North Texas at App State: Bandwagon's model makes App State a 64% favorite (App State −5).
North Texas Mean Green vs App State Mountaineers odds and win probability
Axle gives App State a 64% chance to win, by about 5 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has App State
All CBB ratings| UNT | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1550 94th of 365 | 1537 120th of 365 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | APP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:08 PM ET | 64% | −1 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 12:27 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:33 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:28 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 6:10 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:24 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | — |
North Texas Mean Green vs App State Mountaineers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mountaineers a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 143. Ratings: Mountaineers 1537 (120th of 365), Mean Green 1550 (94th). The Mountaineers are 2-1; the Mean Green are 2-0. The Mountaineers have won 1 of their last 5; the Mean Green 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mountaineers won 0, the Mean Green 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
North Texas Mean Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs McNeese Cowboys | W 77–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 84–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup |
App State Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Auburn Tigers | L 53–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at App State Mountaineers | L 49–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 73–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas State Bobcats | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | W 89–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers at North Texas Mean Green | 64–68 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
North Texas Mean Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
App State Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mean Green2-0 1st · W2
- Mean Green rating1550 94th of 365, 1 games
- Mountaineers2-1 2nd · L1
- Mountaineers rating1537 120th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W2
No stances yet today on $UNTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Texas Mean Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $APPMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the App State Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on North Texas Mean Green at App State Mountaineers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: App State 64% to win. Projected score App State 74, North Texas 69; spread App State −5, total 143. North Texas Mean Green at App State Mountaineers, Fri, Nov 20, 6:30 PM ET.