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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Merkert Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

New Hampshire Wildcats vs Stonehill Skyhawks prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

New Hampshire Wildcats or Stonehill Skyhawks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 33–67Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: STO 67%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 8:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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New Hampshire Wildcats at Stonehill Skyhawks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

New Hampshire Wildcats vs Stonehill Skyhawks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

New Hampshire Wildcats vs Stonehill Skyhawks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUNHSTO
ScoreUNH–STO–
Average win probabilityUNH–STO–
Longest scoring runUNH–STO–
Time leadingUNH–STO–

New Hampshire Wildcats vs Stonehill Skyhawks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Wildcats33%
Win chance
Skyhawks67%
SpreadSTO −6
Total145.5
Moneyline+199away / −199homeaway / home
Line movementSTO win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
72%61%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: STO 67%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: STO 67%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredSTO winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET67%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET67%—
Ratings
STO 1406 · UNH 1397
Home spread
−6
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

WildcatsSkyhawks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Skyhawks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

New Hampshire Wildcats vs Stonehill Skyhawks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Skyhawks a 6-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Skyhawks 1406 (313th of 361), Wildcats 1397 (324th). The Skyhawks are 1-0; the Wildcats are 1-0. The Skyhawks have won 2 of their last 5; the Wildcats 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Skyhawks won 1, the Wildcats 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

New Hampshire Wildcats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Brown BearsW 59–55––matchup
at UMBC RetrieversL 69–84––matchup
vs Bryant BulldogsW 88–83––matchup
at UAlbany Great DanesL 61–84––matchup
at Binghamton BearcatsL 63–65––matchup

Stonehill Skyhawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Mercyhurst LakersL 51–56––matchup
at Le Moyne DolphinsW 81–71––matchup
vs Mercyhurst LakersL 72–75––matchup
vs Le Moyne DolphinsW 77–68––matchup
at New Haven ChargersL 51–64––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Stonehill Skyhawks at New Hampshire Wildcats58–59––matchup
New Hampshire Wildcats at Stonehill Skyhawks83–90––matchup
Stonehill Skyhawks at New Hampshire Wildcats62–75––matchup

Injuries

New Hampshire Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Stonehill Skyhawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Wildcats1-0 2nd · W1
  • Wildcats rating1397 324th of 361, 1 games
  • Skyhawks1-0 1st · W1
  • Skyhawks rating1406 313th of 361, 0 games

New Hampshire Wildcats 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Hampshire Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Wildcats roster, schedule and more

Stonehill Skyhawks 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $STOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stonehill Skyhawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Skyhawks roster, schedule and more

Takes on New Hampshire Wildcats at Stonehill Skyhawks

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Model: Stonehill 67% to win. Projected score Stonehill 76, New Hampshire 70; spread Stonehill −6, total 145.5. New Hampshire Wildcats at Stonehill Skyhawks, Wed, Nov 18, 8:00 PM ET.