Morehead State Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerOhio 69%
- Projected scoreOhio 76, Morehead State 70
- Model spreadOhio −6.5 total 146.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Morehead State Eagles or Ohio Bobcats: the bandwagon
Axle 31–69Market –
Morehead State Eagles at Ohio Bobcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Morehead State Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Morehead State Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MORE | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MORE– | OHIO– |
| Average win probability | MORE– | OHIO– |
| Longest scoring run | MORE– | OHIO– |
| Time leading | MORE– | OHIO– |
Morehead State Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats odds
Every stored line
| Stored | OHIO win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 69% | — |
- Ratings
- OHIO 1492 · MORE 1468
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Morehead State Eagles vs Ohio Bobcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Bobcats 1492 (189th of 361), Eagles 1468 (232nd). The Bobcats are 1-0; the Eagles are 0-1. The Bobcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Eagles 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bobcats won 1, the Eagles 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Morehead State Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | L 58–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee State Tigers | L 67–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | W 66–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Little Rock Trojans | W 76–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 81–59 | – | – | matchup |
Ohio Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at South Alabama Jaguars | W 86–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 75–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 108–110 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Massachusetts Minutemen | L 82–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Toledo Rockets | L 67–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morehead State Eagles at Ohio Bobcats | 76–88 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Morehead State Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Ohio Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles0-1 5th · L1
- Eagles rating1468 232nd of 361, 1 games
- Bobcats1-0 7th · W1
- Bobcats rating1492 189th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MOREMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Morehead State Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Ohio Bobcats 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $OHIOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Ohio Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Morehead State Eagles at Ohio Bobcats
Sign in to post a take on $MOREMBBOHIOMBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Ohio 69% to win. Projected score Ohio 76, Morehead State 70; spread Ohio −6.5, total 146.5. Morehead State Eagles at Ohio Bobcats, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.