Buffalo Bulls vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Buffalo at St. Bonaventure: Bandwagon's model makes St. Bonaventure a 75% favorite (St. Bonaventure −8.5).
Buffalo Bulls vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies odds and win probability
Axle gives St. Bonaventure a 75% chance to win, by about 9 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has St. Bonaventure
All CBB ratings| BUF | SBU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1438 268th of 365 | 1516 155th of 365 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 games | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | W1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 3 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | SBU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:38 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:17 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:53 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 10:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 10:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:18 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:18 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:09 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 12:12 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:06 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:22 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:20 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:05 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:45 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 9:04 PM ET | 75% | +4 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:44 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:19 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:04 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:39 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:04 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:29 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 12:04 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:59 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:07 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:51 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:47 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:22 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | — |
Buffalo Bulls vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bonnies a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bonnies 1516 (155th of 365), Bulls 1438 (268th). The Bonnies are 1-1; the Bulls are 1-2. The Bonnies have won 3 of their last 5; the Bulls 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bonnies won 3, the Bulls 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Buffalo Bulls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Pittsburgh Panthers | L 61–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 65–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | L 70–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 78–99 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Michigan Eagles | W 72–67 | – | – | matchup |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Canisius Golden Griffins | W 88–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Youngstown State Penguins | L 71–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dayton Flyers | L 63–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at George Mason Patriots | W 63–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at La Salle Explorers | W 99–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls | 77–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| Buffalo Bulls at St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls | 80–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Buffalo Bulls | 66–83 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Buffalo Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
St. Bonaventure Bonnies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bulls1-2 11th · W1
- Bulls rating1438 268th of 365, 2 games
- Bonnies1-1 11th · W1
- Bonnies rating1516 155th of 365, 2 games
More CBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Buffalo Bulls 1-2
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BUFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Buffalo Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $SBUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Buffalo Bulls at St. Bonaventure Bonnies
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: St. Bonaventure 75% to win. Projected score St. Bonaventure 77, Buffalo 68; spread St. Bonaventure −8.5, total 145.5. Buffalo Bulls at St. Bonaventure Bonnies, Thu, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ET.