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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Mitchell Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars: final score and how the prediction did, March 9, 2025

Arkansas State Red Wolves or South Alabama Jaguars: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Final
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Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

Bandwagon reads a game's box score only while it is on or just ended, so no in-game series was stored for this one.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Needs two stored points.
Big swing–Needs two stored points.
Clutch window–Needs two stored points.
Baseline–Needs two stored points.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars live stats

From the league's public game summary

No box score stored for this game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatARSTUSA
ScoreARST74USA71
Average win probabilityARST–USA–
Longest scoring runARST–USA–
Time leadingARST–USA–

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars odds

Bandwagon model
Spread—
Total—
Moneyline—

No model line for this game yet; it finished before the model covered it.

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Red WolvesJaguars
Neutrals only–
Red WolvesJaguars
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Jaguars–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction

Ratings: Jaguars 1500 (181st of 361), Red Wolves 1560 (79th). The Jaguars are 0-1; the Red Wolves are 1-0. The Jaguars have won 1 of their last 5; the Red Wolves 4 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Jaguars won 4, the Red Wolves 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Arkansas State Red Wolves

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Toledo RocketsW 71–70––matchup
vs Georgia Southern EaglesL 77–80––matchup
vs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 81–58––matchup
vs Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 89–84––matchup
at UL Monroe WarhawksW 102–94––matchup

South Alabama Jaguars

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 83–80––matchup
vs Ohio BobcatsL 77–86––matchup
at Auburn TigersL 67–78––matchup
vs Georgia Southern EaglesL 85–94––matchup
vs Southern Miss Golden EaglesL 55–68––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves92–88––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars87–91––matchup
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves60–56––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars62–76––matchup
South Alabama Jaguars at Arkansas State Red Wolves78–95––matchup
Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars76–73––matchup

Injuries

Arkansas State Red Wolves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Red Wolves1-0 2nd · W1
  • Red Wolves rating1560 79th of 361, 1 games
  • Jaguars0-1 12th · L1
  • Jaguars rating1500 181st of 361, 2 games

Arkansas State Red Wolves 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARSTMBB
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No stances yet today on $ARSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arkansas State Red Wolves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Red Wolves roster, schedule and more

South Alabama Jaguars 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Jaguars roster, schedule and more

Takes on Arkansas State Red Wolves at South Alabama Jaguars

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