Oklahoma State Cowgirls lead the Southern Jaguars 46-23 with 9:44 left in the 3rd, a 23-point margin. The model has the home side at 80 percent right now, and the Cowgirls hold the larger number on the board.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Gallagher-Iba Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreSouthern 39, Oklahoma State 81 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOklahoma State 80%
- Pregame Projected scoreOklahoma State 71, Southern 59
- Model spreadOklahoma State −12 total 130.5
- Margin42 projected 12.2
- Total120 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Southern Jaguars or Oklahoma State Cowgirls: the bandwagon
Axle 20–80Market –
FinalPregame: OKST 80%Baseline: OKST 97.0% (+16.9)Big swing: 11.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 13 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 39 |
| OKST | 25 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 81 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Southern Jaguars at Oklahoma State Cowgirls win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for OKST over the last 5:00
Big swing11.8 ptstoward OKST at 5:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineOKST 97.0%game average, +16.9 points from the pregame 80.1%
Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SOU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | SOU13/54 | OKST26/57 |
| 3-pointers | SOU4/20 | OKST7/25 |
| Free throws | SOU4/7 | OKST15/20 |
| Rebounds | SOU27 | OKST50 |
| Assists | SOU6 | OKST17 |
| Turnovers | SOU17 | OKST15 |
| Steals | SOU8 | OKST12 |
| Blocks | SOU1 | OKST2 |
| Points in the paint | SOU10 | OKST32 |
| Fast-break points | SOU5 | OKST12 |
| Fouls | SOU16 | OKST13 |
| Largest lead | SOU0 | OKST44 |
Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SOU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SOU39 | OKST81 |
| Average win probability | SOU3% | OKST97% |
| Longest scoring run | SOU+4 | OKST+11 |
| Time leading | SOU0:00 | OKST33:31 |
Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET
Jaguars20%
Win chanceCowgirls80%
SpreadOKST −12closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+402away / −402homeaway / home
Line movementOKST win chance, 18 stored lines
+17 pts for OKST between Oct 29 and Nov 2
89%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | OKST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:11 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 80% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 84% | +21 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- OKST 1673 · SOU 1550
- Home spread
- −12
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Southern Jaguars 39, Oklahoma State Cowgirls 81. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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JaguarsCowgirls
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JaguarsCowgirls
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cowgirls–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Southern Jaguars vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cowgirls a 12-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Cowgirls 1687 (20th of 356), Jaguars 1536 (135th). The Cowgirls are 1-0; the Jaguars are 0-1. The Cowgirls have won 3 of their last 5; the Jaguars 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Southern Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oklahoma State Cowgirls | L 39–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Carolina Gamecocks | L 34–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Samford Bulldogs | W 65–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama State Lady Hornets | W 73–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama A&M Bulldogs | W 51–49 | – | – | matchup |
Oklahoma State Cowgirls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southern Jaguars | W 81–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 68–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Princeton Tigers | W 82–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas State Wildcats | L 73–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 70–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Southern Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oklahoma State Cowgirls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Jaguars0-1 9th · L1
- Jaguars rating1536 135th of 356, 1 games
- Cowgirls1-0 9th · W1
- Cowgirls rating1687 20th of 356, 1 games
Southern Jaguars 0-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SOUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SOUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SOUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Southern Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 9th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OKSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OKSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OKSTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $OKSTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowgirls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Southern Jaguars at Oklahoma State Cowgirls
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Final: Southern 39, Oklahoma State 81. Bandwagon's model had the Oklahoma State at 80% and projected Oklahoma State 71, Southern 59; spread Oklahoma State −12, total 130.5.