Siena Saints vs Mercyhurst Lakers prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Siena at Mercyhurst: Bandwagon's model makes Mercyhurst a 64% favorite (Mercyhurst −6.5).
Siena Saints vs Mercyhurst Lakers odds and win probability
Axle gives Mercyhurst a 64% chance to win, by about 7 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Mercyhurst
All WCBB ratings| SIE | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1465 208th of 357 | 1479 189th of 357 |
| Record | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | MERC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:48 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 64% | +2 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 62% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 63% | — |
Siena Saints vs Mercyhurst Lakers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lakers a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 132. Ratings: Lakers 1479 (189th of 357), Saints 1465 (208th). The Lakers are 1-2; the Saints are 1-2. The Lakers have won 0 of their last 2; the Saints 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Siena Saints
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Binghamton Bearcats | L 73–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maine Black Bears | L 68–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brown Bears | W 82–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iona Gaels | L 50–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Marist Red Foxes | W 67–57 | – | – | matchup |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Ohio State Buckeyes | L 57–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Seton Hall Pirates | L 37–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Siena Saints: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Mercyhurst Lakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Saints1-2 6th · L2
- Saints rating1465 208th of 357, 3 games
- Lakers1-2 5th · L1
- Lakers rating1479 189th of 357, 2 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Siena Saints 1-2
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $SIEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Siena Saints bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MERCWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mercyhurst Lakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Siena Saints at Mercyhurst Lakers
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Mercyhurst 64% to win. Projected score Mercyhurst 69, Siena 63; spread Mercyhurst −6.5, total 132. Siena Saints at Mercyhurst Lakers, Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM ET.