Northern Colorado Bears vs BYU Cougars prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Northern Colorado at BYU: Bandwagon's model makes BYU a 79% favorite (BYU −12).
Northern Colorado Bears vs BYU Cougars odds and win probability
Axle gives BYU a 79% chance to win, by about 12 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has BYU
All WCBB ratings| UNCO | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1535 135th of 357 | 1644 45th of 357 |
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 1 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | BYU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:43 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 79% | — |
Northern Colorado Bears vs BYU Cougars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cougars a 12-point favorite at home, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 130. Ratings: Cougars 1644 (45th of 357), Bears 1535 (135th). The Cougars are 3-0; the Bears are 2-1. The Cougars have won 4 of their last 5; the Bears 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cougars won 0, the Bears 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Northern Colorado Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Longhorns | L 29–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Dakota Coyotes | L 60–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Air Force Falcons | W 79–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Eastern Washington Eagles | L 53–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Montana Lady Griz | W 61–59 | – | – | matchup |
BYU Cougars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Montana Lady Griz | W 97–53 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland Pilots | W 74–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Idaho State Bengals | W 67–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Columbia Lions | L 64–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 70–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears at BYU Cougars | 67–60 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Northern Colorado Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
BYU Cougars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bears2-1 5th · W1
- Bears rating1535 135th of 357, 1 games
- Cougars3-0 4th · W3
- Cougars rating1644 45th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 5th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $UNCOWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Colorado Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
BYU Cougars 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $BYUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the BYU Cougars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northern Colorado Bears at BYU Cougars
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: BYU 79% to win. Projected score BYU 71, Northern Colorado 59; spread BYU −12, total 130. Northern Colorado Bears at BYU Cougars, Sat, Nov 21, 4:00 PM ET.