New Haven Chargers vs Iona Gaels prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026
- Projected winnerIona 82%
- Projected scoreIona 72, New Haven 59
- Model spreadIona −13 total 130.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
New Haven Chargers or Iona Gaels: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
New Haven Chargers at Iona Gaels win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
New Haven Chargers vs Iona Gaels live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
New Haven Chargers vs Iona Gaels team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NHVN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NHVN– | IONA– |
| Average win probability | NHVN– | IONA– |
| Longest scoring run | NHVN– | IONA– |
| Time leading | NHVN– | IONA– |
New Haven Chargers vs Iona Gaels odds
Every stored line
| Stored | IONA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET | 82% | — |
- Ratings
- IONA 1493 · NHVN 1351
- Home spread
- −13
- Stored
- Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
New Haven Chargers vs Iona Gaels prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gaels a 13-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Gaels 1493 (180th of 356), Chargers 1351 (315th). The Gaels are 1-0; the Chargers are 1-0. The Gaels have won 4 of their last 5; the Chargers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Gaels won 1, the Chargers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
New Haven Chargers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L 50–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wagner Seahawks | L 62–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L 55–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Long Island University Sharks | L 74–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Chicago State Cougars | L 57–60 | – | – | matchup |
Iona Gaels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 62–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Siena Saints | W 59–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Manhattan Jaspers | W 65–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Peter's Peacocks | W 66–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Siena Saints | W 61–52 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels at New Haven Chargers | 57–45 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
New Haven Chargers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iona Gaels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chargers1-0 1st · W1
- Chargers rating1351 315th of 356, 0 games
- Gaels1-0 1st · W1
- Gaels rating1493 180th of 356, 0 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $NHVNWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the New Haven Chargers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Iona Gaels 1-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $IONAWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iona Gaels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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