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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · McCarthey Athletic Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Montana Lady Griz vs Gonzaga Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Montana Lady Griz or Gonzaga Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 8–92Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: GONZ 92%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 9:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Montana Lady Griz at Gonzaga Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Montana Lady Griz vs Gonzaga Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Montana Lady Griz vs Gonzaga Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMONTGONZ
ScoreMONT–GONZ–
Average win probabilityMONT–GONZ–
Longest scoring runMONT–GONZ–
Time leadingMONT–GONZ–

Montana Lady Griz vs Gonzaga Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Lady Griz8%
Win chance
Bulldogs92%
SpreadGONZ −19.5
Total130.5
Moneyline+1158away / −1158homeaway / home
Line movementGONZ win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
98%87%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: GONZ 92%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: GONZ 92%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredGONZ winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET92%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET92%—
Ratings
GONZ 1652 · MONT 1389
Home spread
−19.5
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Lady GrizBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Montana Lady Griz vs Gonzaga Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 19.5-point favorite at home, with a 92% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1652 (35th of 356), Lady Griz 1389 (289th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Lady Griz are 1-0. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Lady Griz 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 3, the Lady Griz 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Montana Lady Griz

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Montana State BobcatsL 57–78––matchup
at Northern Arizona LumberjacksW 61–60––matchup
vs Northern Colorado BearsL 59–61––matchup
at Portland State VikingsW 55–53––matchup
at Sacramento State HornetsL 57–75––matchup

Gonzaga Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs North Dakota State BisonW 62–56––matchup
at Ole Miss RebelsL 66–81––matchup
vs Oregon State BeaversW 76–66––matchup
vs Santa Clara BroncosW 88–60––matchup
at Portland PilotsL 91–92––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Montana Lady Griz at Gonzaga Bulldogs69–82––matchup
Gonzaga Bulldogs at Montana Lady Griz83–70––matchup
Montana Lady Griz at Gonzaga Bulldogs67–82––matchup

Injuries

Montana Lady Griz: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Gonzaga Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Lady Griz1-0 2nd · W1
  • Lady Griz rating1389 289th of 356, 0 games
  • Bulldogs1-0 3rd · W1
  • Bulldogs rating1652 35th of 356, 1 games

Montana Lady Griz 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MONTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MONTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MONTWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MONTWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montana Lady Griz bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Lady Griz roster, schedule and more

Gonzaga Bulldogs 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GONZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GONZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GONZWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GONZWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gonzaga Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Montana Lady Griz at Gonzaga Bulldogs

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Model: Gonzaga 92% to win. Projected score Gonzaga 75, Montana 56; spread Gonzaga −19.5, total 130.5. Montana Lady Griz at Gonzaga Bulldogs, Wed, Nov 18, 9:00 PM ET.