Marshall Thundering Herd vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction, odds and picks, November 20, 2026
Marshall at Kentucky: Bandwagon's model makes Kentucky an 86% favorite (Kentucky −15).
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Kentucky Wildcats odds and win probability
Axle gives Kentucky a 86% chance to win, by about 15 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Kentucky
All WCBB ratings| MRSH | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1638 54th of 357 | 1727 15th of 357 |
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W3 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 0 | 1 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage, schedule and recent form; record, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | UK win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:18 PM ET | 86% | +11 |
| Nov 10, 1:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 11:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 PM ET | 75% | +3 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:18 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:25 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:19 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | — |
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 15-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1727 (15th of 357), Thundering Herd 1638 (54th). The Wildcats are 3-0; the Thundering Herd are 3-0. The Wildcats have won 4 of their last 5; the Thundering Herd 5 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 1, the Thundering Herd 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Howard Bison | W 76–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Carolina A&T Aggies | W 62–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Massachusetts Minutewomen | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | W 66–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | W 69–62 | – | – | matchup |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at NC State Wolfpack | W 93–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Kentucky Norse | W 79–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Morehead State Eagles | W 85–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 54–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 74–73 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats at Marshall Thundering Herd | 76–44 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Marshall Thundering Herd: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kentucky Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Thundering Herd3-0 2nd · W3
- Thundering Herd rating1638 54th of 357, 2 games
- Wildcats3-0 6th · W3
- Wildcats rating1727 15th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $MRSHWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marshall Thundering Herd bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $UKWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kentucky Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marshall Thundering Herd at Kentucky Wildcats
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Kentucky 86% to win. Projected score Kentucky 73, Marshall 58; spread Kentucky −15, total 131.5. Marshall Thundering Herd at Kentucky Wildcats, Fri, Nov 20, 6:00 PM ET.