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NCAA Women's Basketball · · Jadwin Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

George Mason Patriots vs Princeton Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

George Mason Patriots or Princeton Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 35–65Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: PRIN 65%
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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George Mason Patriots at Princeton Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

George Mason Patriots vs Princeton Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

George Mason Patriots vs Princeton Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatGMUPRIN
ScoreGMU–PRIN–
Average win probabilityGMU–PRIN–
Longest scoring runGMU–PRIN–
Time leadingGMU–PRIN–

George Mason Patriots vs Princeton Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Patriots35%
Win chance
Tigers65%
SpreadPRIN −7
Total131.5
Moneyline+190away / −190homeaway / home
Line movementPRIN win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
71%60%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: PRIN 65%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: PRIN 65%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredPRIN winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET65%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET65%—
Ratings
PRIN 1685 · GMU 1669
Home spread
−7
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PatriotsTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

George Mason Patriots vs Princeton Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 7-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 131.5. Ratings: Tigers 1685 (22nd of 356), Patriots 1669 (30th). The Tigers are 1-0; the Patriots are 1-0. The Tigers have won 4 of their last 5; the Patriots 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Patriots 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

George Mason Patriots

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Temple OwlsW 91–71––matchup
vs Quinnipiac BobcatsL 64–71––matchup
at Rhode Island RamsL 51–53––matchup
vs Richmond SpidersW 60–45––matchup
vs Dayton FlyersW 87–85––matchup

Princeton Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Belmont BruinsW 63–52––matchup
at Oklahoma State CowgirlsL 68–82––matchup
vs Harvard CrimsonW 63–53––matchup
vs Brown BearsW 65–51––matchup
vs Yale BulldogsW 78–55––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Princeton Tigers at George Mason Patriots71–69––matchup

Injuries

George Mason Patriots: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Princeton Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Patriots1-0 2nd · W1
  • Patriots rating1669 30th of 356, 1 games
  • Tigers1-0 4th · W1
  • Tigers rating1685 22nd of 356, 1 games

George Mason Patriots 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GMUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GMUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the George Mason Patriots bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Patriots roster, schedule and more

Princeton Tigers 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PRINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PRINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PRINWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PRINWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Princeton Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on George Mason Patriots at Princeton Tigers

Sign in to post a take on $GMUWBBPRINWBB261119: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Princeton 65% to win. Projected score Princeton 69, George Mason 62; spread Princeton −7, total 131.5. George Mason Patriots at Princeton Tigers, Wed, Nov 18, 7:00 PM ET.