Fairfield Stags vs Oregon Ducks prediction, odds and picks, November 19, 2026
Fairfield at Oregon: Bandwagon's model makes Oregon a 52% favorite (Oregon −3).
Fairfield Stags vs Oregon Ducks odds and win probability
Axle gives Oregon a 52% chance to win, by about 3 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Oregon
All WCBB ratings| FAIR | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1705 20th of 357 | 1640 50th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results and streak are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | ORE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:48 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:02 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 52% | −2 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:14 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 54% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 55% | −2 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 57% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 3:13 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:18 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 11:00 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 7:34 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:59 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 4:10 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 2:04 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 1:59 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:49 PM ET | 58% | +1 |
| Nov 6, 11:19 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 9:07 PM ET | 57% | −1 |
| Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:37 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 3:04 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET | 58% | 0 |
| Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET | 58% | — |
Fairfield Stags vs Oregon Ducks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Ducks a 3-point favorite at home, with a 52% chance to win. The model total is 133. Ratings: Ducks 1640 (50th of 357), Stags 1705 (20th). The Ducks are 2-1; the Stags are 2-0. The Ducks have won 3 of their last 5; the Stags 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Fairfield Stags
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Vermont Catamounts | W 74–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Binghamton Bearcats | W 90–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 60–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 51–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | W 65–48 | – | – | matchup |
Oregon Ducks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Grand Canyon Lopes | L 74–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 64–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | W 87–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas Longhorns | L 58–100 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Virginia Tech Hokies | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Fairfield Stags: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oregon Ducks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Stags2-0 2nd · W2
- Stags rating1705 20th of 357, 2 games
- Ducks2-1 15th · L1
- Ducks rating1640 50th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Fairfield Stags 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W2
No stances yet today on $FAIRWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Fairfield Stags bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Oregon Ducks 2-1
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 15th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OREWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oregon Ducks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Fairfield Stags at Oregon Ducks
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.