Duke Blue Devils vs Columbia Lions prediction, odds and picks, November 21, 2026
Duke at Columbia: Bandwagon's model makes Columbia a 56% favorite (Columbia −4).
Duke Blue Devils vs Columbia Lions odds and win probability
Axle gives Columbia a 56% chance to win, by about 4 points.
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
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Why Axle has Columbia
All WCBB ratings| DUKE | COLU | |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 1763 6th of 357 | 1735 13th of 357 |
| Record | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 games | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W2 | W3 |
| Home field | No | Yes |
| Meetings won | 2 | 0 |
Blue marks the better side of each row. This line uses ratings from results, home advantage and schedule; record, last 5 results, streak and meetings are context only, not inputs.
How Axle's line has moved
Every stored line
| Stored | COLU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 11, 12:37 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:33 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 11:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:38 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 10:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:23 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:18 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 9:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 8:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2:12 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 1:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:52 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 10, 12:08 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:28 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:13 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 9:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 8:33 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 7:48 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 6:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 3:57 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 1:47 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 9, 5:04 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 9:53 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 7:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:58 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:08 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 6:03 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:43 PM ET | 56% | +4 |
| Nov 8, 4:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 4:03 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:58 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:23 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 3:08 PM ET | 52% | −1 |
| Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:53 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 2:28 PM ET | 53% | 0 |
| Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET | 53% | — |
Duke Blue Devils vs Columbia Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lions a 4-point favorite at home, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 132.5. Ratings: Lions 1735 (13th of 357), Blue Devils 1763 (6th). The Lions are 3-0; the Blue Devils are 2-0. The Lions have won 5 of their last 5; the Blue Devils 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Lions won 0, the Blue Devils 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Form, head-to-head and injuries
Recent form
Duke Blue Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Atlantic Owls | W 78–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Green Bay Phoenix | W 76–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 58–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | W 87–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | W 69–46 | – | – | matchup |
Columbia Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Belmont Bruins | W 84–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rhode Island Rams | W 76–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Davidson Wildcats | W 71–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | W 81–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wisconsin Badgers | W 67–50 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia Lions at Duke Blue Devils | 61–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| Duke Blue Devils at Columbia Lions | 66–62 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Columbia Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Blue Devils2-0 12th · W2
- Blue Devils rating1763 6th of 357, 2 games
- Lions3-0 2nd · W3
- Lions rating1735 13th of 357, 3 games
More WCBB games in the next 7 days
The bandwagon on each team
Duke Blue Devils 2-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $DUKEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Columbia Lions 3-0
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak W3
No stances yet today on $COLUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Columbia Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Duke Blue Devils at Columbia Lions
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How Axle makes this line
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Model: Columbia 56% to win. Projected score Columbia 68, Duke 64; spread Columbia −4, total 132.5. Duke Blue Devils at Columbia Lions, Sat, Nov 21, 7:00 PM ET.