NCAA Women's Basketball · Final: Duke Blue Devils 78, Florida Atlantic Owls 56 · Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida Atlantic Owls: final score and how the prediction did, November 8, 2026

Final scoreDuke 78, Florida Atlantic 56 the projected winner won
Pregame Projected winnerDuke 91%
Pregame Projected scoreDuke 71, Florida Atlantic 58
Model spreadDuke −13 total 129
Margin22 projected 13
Total134 projected 129

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET

Duke Blue Devils or Florida Atlantic Owls: the bandwagon

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Owls▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Axle pregame 91–9Market 99–1

FinalPregame: FAU 9%Baseline: FAU 2.1% (−7.4)Big swing: 2.9 ptsClutch window: none

Duke Blue Devils

Record 2-0

78+2256+15

Florida Atlantic Owls

Record 1-2

Score by period
Team	1	2	3	4	T
DUKE	20	17	19	22	78
FAU	9	14	18	15	56

Game clock

Final

Situation

Final

Possession

–

Duke Blue Devils at Florida Atlantic Owls win probability

Bandwagon's model

Last update: Q4Fetched at 4:05:10 PM ET

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for FAU over the last 5:00

Big swing2.9 ptstoward DUKE at 1:33 of game time

Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter

BaselineFAU 2.1%game average, −7.4 points from the pregame 9.5%

Box scoreTeam breakdown

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida Atlantic Owls live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary 4:05:10 PM ET

Live team statistics
Stat	DUKE	FAU
Field goals	DUKE31/64	FAU19/59
3-pointers	DUKE3/11	FAU8/19
Free throws	DUKE13/22	FAU10/12
Rebounds	DUKE47	FAU32
Assists	DUKE13	FAU11
Turnovers	DUKE15	FAU20
Steals	DUKE10	FAU8
Blocks	DUKE8	FAU5
Points in the paint	DUKE50	FAU20
Fast-break points	DUKE7	FAU10
Fouls	DUKE19	FAU21
Largest lead	DUKE23	FAU0

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida Atlantic Owls team breakdown

From the stored in-game series

Team breakdown
Stat	DUKE	FAU
Score	DUKE78	FAU56
Average win probability	DUKE98%	FAU2%
Longest scoring run	DUKE+6	FAU+6
Time leading	DUKE38:27	FAU0:00

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida Atlantic Owls model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET

Blue Devils91%

Win chance

Owls9%

SpreadDUKE −13closing model spread

Total129

Moneyline−958away / +958homeaway / home

Line movementFAU win chance, 102 stored lines

−41 pts for FAU between Oct 29 and Nov 8

55%3%

Oct 29Nov 3Nov 8

Every stored line

Stored	FAU win	Move
Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 8, 2:48 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 8, 1:58 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 10:47 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 8:04 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 7:59 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 5:09 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 5:05 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 4:55 PM ET	9%	0
Nov 7, 4:49 PM ET	9%	−1
Nov 7, 4:19 PM ET	10%	0
Nov 7, 4:14 PM ET	10%	0
Nov 7, 3:59 PM ET	10%	+1
Nov 7, 3:54 PM ET	9%	+1
Nov 7, 3:15 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 7, 3:04 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 7, 2:59 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 7, 2:25 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 7, 5:02 AM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 11:04 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 10:49 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 10:40 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 10:02 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 9:52 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 9:12 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 8:57 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 8:52 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 8:11 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 8:07 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 6:04 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 5:49 PM ET	8%	0
Nov 6, 3:09 PM ET	8%	−12
Nov 6, 2:03 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 6, 1:58 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 6, 1:53 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 6, 5:03 AM ET	20%	0
Nov 6, 12:01 AM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 11:02 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:58 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:43 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:38 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:28 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:23 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:13 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:08 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 9:03 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 8:58 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 8:08 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 7:53 PM ET	20%	0
Nov 5, 4:07 PM ET	20%	−2
Nov 5, 2:07 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET	22%	0
Nov 5, 12:01 AM ET	22%	0
Nov 4, 9:55 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 4, 9:45 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 4, 7:49 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 4, 2:15 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 9:38 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET	22%	0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET	22%	−1
Nov 3, 8:43 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET	23%	0
Nov 3, 12:34 AM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 11:55 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 10:41 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 7:51 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 7:12 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 6:13 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 2:20 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 2:05 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 1:01 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET	23%	0
Nov 1, 2:23 PM ET	23%	0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET	23%	+12
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET	11%	0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET	11%	0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET	11%	−39
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET	50%	—

Ratings: FAU 1428 · DUKE 1757
Home spread: +13 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored: Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET · 2026-11-08 19:58 UTC
Version: Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Duke Blue Devils 78, Florida Atlantic Owls 56. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Blue DevilsOwls

Neutrals only–

Blue DevilsOwls

Picks locked at kickoff.

Bandwagon minus model, Owls–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Duke vs Florida Atlantic odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every Women's college basketball market

Kalshi had Blue Devils at 99% when last read, Nov 8, 12:21 PM ET; Polymarket had them at 99% when last read, Nov 8, 12:31 PM ET; and Axle 2.0 had them at 91% when last read, Nov 8, 5:04 AM ET.

Source	DUKE	FAU	Price read
Kalshi	99%	1%	Nov 8, 12:21 PM ET · closing price
Polymarket	99%	1%	Nov 8, 12:31 PM ET · closing price
Bandwagon model	91%	9%	Nov 8, 2:58 PM ET · model 2.0

Kalshi minus model, FAU: −8Polymarket minus model, FAU: −8

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Blue Devils a 13-point favorite, with a 91% chance to win. The model total is 129. Ratings: Owls 1422 (256th of 357), Blue Devils 1763 (6th). The Owls are 1-2; the Blue Devils are 2-0. The Owls have won 2 of their last 5; the Blue Devils 4 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Duke Blue Devils

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
at Florida Atlantic Owls	Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET	W 78–56	–	–	matchup
vs Green Bay Phoenix	Tue, Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET	W 76–60	–	–	matchup
at UCLA Bruins	Sun, Mar 29, 3:00 PM ET	L 58–70	–	–	matchup
at LSU Tigers	Fri, Mar 27, 10:12 PM ET	W 87–85	–	–	matchup
vs Baylor Bears	Sun, Mar 22, 4:07 PM ET	W 69–46	–	–	matchup

Florida Atlantic Owls

Opponent	Kick (ET)	Result	Picks	Axle
Duke Blue Devils at Florida Atlantic Owls	Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET	78–56	–	–	matchup
vs Kennesaw State Owls	Sat, Nov 7, 2:00 PM ET	W 68–28	–	–	matchup
at Miami Hurricanes	Mon, Nov 2, 7:00 PM ET	L 48–75	–	–	matchup
at North Texas Mean Green	Wed, Mar 11, 1:00 PM ET	L 57–80	–	–	matchup
at Charlotte 49ers	Tue, Mar 10, 1:00 PM ET	W 74–70	–	–	matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Duke Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Florida Atlantic Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings

Blue Devils2-0 12th · W2
Blue Devils rating1763 6th of 357, 2 games
Owls1-2 11th · L1
Owls rating1422 256th of 357, 3 games

Duke Blue Devils 2-0

EveryoneFansNeutrals

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 12th · streak W2

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $DUKEWBB

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No stances yet today on $DUKEWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Duke Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

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Blue Devils roster, schedule and more

Florida Atlantic Owls 1-2

EveryoneFansNeutrals

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 11th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $FAUWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $FAUWBB

▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $FAUWBB

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No stances yet today on $FAUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Florida Atlantic Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on ▼ Jump off

Owls roster, schedule and more

Takes on Duke Blue Devils at Florida Atlantic Owls

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Final: Duke 78, Florida Atlantic 56. Bandwagon's model had the Duke at 91% and projected Duke 71, Florida Atlantic 58; spread Duke −13, total 129. Last read: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 99% for Duke.