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Axle 2.078% straight up509 games
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Costello Athletic Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs UMass Lowell River Hawks prediction, odds and picks, November 18, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Central Connecticut Blue Devils or UMass Lowell River Hawks: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 32–68Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UML 68%
Game clock
KickoffWednesday, November 18 at 6:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Central Connecticut Blue Devils at UMass Lowell River Hawks win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs UMass Lowell River Hawks live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs UMass Lowell River Hawks team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCCSUUML
ScoreCCSU–UML–
Average win probabilityCCSU–UML–
Longest scoring runCCSU–UML–
Time leadingCCSU–UML–

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs UMass Lowell River Hawks odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Blue Devils32%
Win chance
River Hawks68%
SpreadUML −8
Total130.5
Moneyline+216away / −216homeaway / home
Line movementUML win chance, 2 stored lines
No move
74%63%
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: UML 68%Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET: UML 68%
5:04 AMNow
Every stored line
StoredUML winMove
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET68%0
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET68%—
Ratings
UML 1332 · CCSU 1294
Home spread
−8
Stored
Nov 5, 5:04 AM ET · 2026-11-05 10:04 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

Blue DevilsRiver Hawks
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, River Hawks–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils vs UMass Lowell River Hawks prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the River Hawks a 8-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: River Hawks 1332 (331st of 356), Blue Devils 1294 (347th). The River Hawks are 1-0; the Blue Devils are 0-1. The River Hawks have won 1 of their last 5; the Blue Devils 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the River Hawks won 2, the Blue Devils 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at VCU RamsL 43–67––matchup
vs New Haven ChargersW 60–50––matchup
vs Chicago State CougarsW 86–75––matchup
vs Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsL 36–77––matchup
vs Wagner SeahawksL 41–50––matchup

UMass Lowell River Hawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at UMBC RetrieversL 43–66––matchup
vs Vermont CatamountsL 37–68––matchup
at Binghamton BearcatsL 44–69––matchup
at New Hampshire WildcatsW 57–54––matchup
at Bryant BulldogsL 36–77––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
UMass Lowell River Hawks at Central Connecticut Blue Devils70–54––matchup
UMass Lowell River Hawks at Central Connecticut Blue Devils49–58––matchup
Central Connecticut Blue Devils at UMass Lowell River Hawks47–60––matchup

Injuries

Central Connecticut Blue Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

UMass Lowell River Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Blue Devils0-1 3rd · L1
  • Blue Devils rating1294 347th of 356, 1 games
  • River Hawks1-0 6th · W1
  • River Hawks rating1332 331st of 356, 0 games

Central Connecticut Blue Devils 0-1

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 3rd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CCSUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CCSUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Central Connecticut Blue Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blue Devils roster, schedule and more

UMass Lowell River Hawks 1-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 6th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UMLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UMLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UMLWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UMLWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UMass Lowell River Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

River Hawks roster, schedule and more

Takes on Central Connecticut Blue Devils at UMass Lowell River Hawks

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Model: UMass Lowell 68% to win. Projected score UMass Lowell 69, Central Connecticut 61; spread UMass Lowell −8, total 130.5. Central Connecticut Blue Devils at UMass Lowell River Hawks, Wed, Nov 18, 6:00 PM ET.